Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace4f3ef430eb4844ddc4bde7a3ba662cac1cb369441bce675c8e37a5dda2146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 15,965$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.95 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 2c | 4,974$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 14c | 4,505$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.69 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 4c | 4,045$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,907$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 13c | 2,701$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.13 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 13c | 2,583$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 13c | 2,200$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 1,884$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 2c | 1,783$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,569$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 12c | 999.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 3c | 420.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 14c | 316.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 6c | 305.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 13c | 194.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 14c | 187.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 13c | 186.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 13c | 182.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 13c | 157.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 13c | 152.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84e…f401backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 14c | 121.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 13c | 106.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…f42bbacked Yes | 15c | 75.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.