Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc22bdca55b05862214ae6b1bb09973ff37de492b1956253449ff997aa86252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 77c | 1,706$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 1,373$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,115$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 922.58$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.19 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 673.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 404.14$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 294.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 271.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…315abacked No | 77c | 250.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 76c | 188$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 182.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 17c | 166.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 76c | 114.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 102.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 101.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 99.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…3305backed Yes | 16c | 73.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 15c | 72.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Yes | 28c | 68.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed No | 77c | 64.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 22c | 45.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…c867backed No | 77c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…5f13backed No | 77c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…625fbacked No | 77c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.