Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78a7ad36eb59213cd8b7d5d2d6eef3004fd98d58d62847ece52a554f83563342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 32,300$10,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,571.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 60c | 26,244$15,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,516.93 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 78c | 25,164$19,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 58c | 8,231$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.07 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 7,825$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 39c | 7,106$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.12 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 28c | 6,610$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.93 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 58c | 5,408$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.34 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 5,264$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.22 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 43c | 4,829$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 4,634$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.24 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 4,331$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 60c | 4,268$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 39c | 3,264$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 69c | 3,208$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 41c | 2,640$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 2,598$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 58c | 2,413$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.51 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 56c | 2,210$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.89 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,150$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.36 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 2,000$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.64 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 1,720$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.8 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 11c | 1,669$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.67 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 59c | 1,608$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.15 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 55c | 1,430$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 1,384$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.48 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 1,328$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.85 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 1,310$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.64 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 44c | 1,276$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 1,183$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.44 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,156$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.95 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 1,026$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.15 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 6c | 1,023$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 58c | 1,011$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 991.3$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.43 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Yes | 59c | 867.13$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 782$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 40c | 748.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 57c | 727.81$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Yes | 58c | 714.29$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 40c | 673$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 40c | 642.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 569.71$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 55c | 566.11$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.75 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 42c | 559.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 71c | 553.58$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 57c | 480.06$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 477.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 40c | 453.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 441.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 46c | 396.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 58c | 394.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes | 58c | 391.21$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 76c | 350.28$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 17c | 347.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 60c | 330.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.51 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 60c | 325.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 59c | 314.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 46c | 299.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 37c | 298.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 271.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 36c | 268.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 249.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 41c | 239.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 29c | 236.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 60c | 226.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 61c | 225.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 54c | 219.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes | 60c | 213.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked Yes | 43c | 198.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 42c | 196.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 27c | 187.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 7c | 172.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 41c | 169.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 169.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 58c | 169.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.