TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Paris Basketball vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paris Basketballof Paris Basketball, Maccabi Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Paris Basketball50c14,940$7,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,474.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…8c4bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c5,766$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv5c4,408$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.271844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv28c2,000$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.978344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball66c1,959$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Maccabi Tel Aviv30c1,791$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.12437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv4c1,600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6436939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c1,495$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.884042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paris Basketball72c1,414$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7628943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c1,224$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab0e…4393backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c1,158$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.11560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Paris Basketball49c1,095$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c1,085$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.343053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Paris Basketball47c976.77$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6913147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv6c786.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.183040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Paris Basketball48c744.77$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2312040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv32c732.02$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.66237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv12c629.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.591428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c627.37$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.051844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c500.29$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv52c430.39$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv53c380.37$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv24c359.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c355.02$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c349.2$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c344.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c332.71$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.365545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Paris Basketball68c318.18$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1626935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Paris Basketball46c310.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.788100%8 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf762…54b9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv20c310.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv32c296.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.922321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c293.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.786142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c293.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.782045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Paris Basketball50c290.74$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Paris Basketball55c287.95$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3114037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0039…602fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c232.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c232.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.462045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c232.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.465541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c232.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.461838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c232.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c226.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.988247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Basketball79c225$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…9bd9backed Paris Basketball49c222.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv22c214.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.211931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4245…62ebbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Maccabi Tel Aviv52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c193.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…3da4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv10c190.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.121643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.121855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c175.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.722050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b0…0f7dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv49c172.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maccabi Tel Aviv26c150.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7225517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c143.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548e…bf10backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c125.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4f…2026backed Maccabi Tel Aviv16c120.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Paris Basketball51c108.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.152075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paris Basketball47c100.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.377741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Paris Basketball48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.219748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Paris Basketball51c98.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.495240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Paris Basketball49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.452540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Paris Basketball49c98.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Maccabi Tel Aviv27c97.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.284841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c96.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.491855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c96.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8597…d9fcbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv51c90.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3903…6058backed Maccabi Tel Aviv13c89.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3398…e348backed Maccabi Tel Aviv32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.781145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c52…6431backed Maccabi Tel Aviv33c84.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.492040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c77.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.791145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv52c77.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.153348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1f…0568backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c73.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Paris Basketball48c61.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.247247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…5a7fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Paris Basketball62c56.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.421535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Paris Basketball48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c49.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c62…6573backed Paris Basketball49c49.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Paris Basketball47c48.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.969851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Paris Basketball75c48.79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c48.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Paris Basketball49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.722653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c48.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv51c46.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Paris Basketball70c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634971.4%35 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Paris Basketball49c39.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.274557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Paris Basketball49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Paris Basketball49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c39.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.694355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.413751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb4…db25backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.