Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77cec2c39f8dbbfa9c5001b7ff8d7dde6fe3c010d3a8b9c5807d9b347d3124ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 73c | 52,732$38,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,285.37 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 49,757$12,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,961.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 21c | 20,397$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 6,452$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 5,881$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.56 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 4,783$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.53 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 21c | 4,623$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.74 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 24c | 4,538$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 78c | 3,956$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.26 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 2,887$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.17 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 2,600$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 2,518$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.61 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 21c | 2,428$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.87 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1d60backed Yes | 7c | 1,601$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…ff3ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 78c | 1,482$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.47 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Yes | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 1,417$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 30c | 1,181$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked No | 79c | 1,136$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,061$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 31c | 979.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 960.97$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.41 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…6cc3backed Yes | 32c | 941.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 79c | 877.75$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…d7d8backed Yes | 17c | 805.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 766.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 76c | 701$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 649.22$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 31c | 639.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 19c | 626.92$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 75c | 610$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 7c | 587.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 80c | 574.44$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 31c | 573.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 25c | 564.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 5c | 550$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…bc24backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Yes | 19c | 510.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 79c | 484.88$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 20c | 470.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 458.16$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 409.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 78c | 399.4$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Yes | 22c | 387$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 29c | 368.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…6b8ebacked Yes | 22c | 365.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked No | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 348.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…a395backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 27c | 344.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 3c | 340$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Yes | 32c | 339.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 335.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 16c | 335.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 15c | 325$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 68c | 315$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3a39backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc328…9d37backed Yes | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…a17cbacked Yes | 21c | 306.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…1f4fbacked Yes | 9c | 297.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…1e3fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 27c | 248.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 244$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 237.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…a3a6backed Yes | 30c | 234.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…c88bbacked Yes | 32c | 224.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Yes | 28c | 220.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…d02ebacked Yes | 7c | 218.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 206.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 11c | 203.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…7336backed Yes | 20c | 196.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.