NBA · resolved market
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd963e037878e2cafe2670129b0e742238d9522ac77cc797fea42742f7045cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 5c | 22,971$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.18 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…0e11backed Yes | 10c | 10,291$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 3c | 9,087$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,519$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 6,352$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,900$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e312backed Yes | 4c | 4,970$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…0f64backed Yes | 3c | 2,929$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…e931backed Yes | 6c | 2,786$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…64a3backed Yes | 6c | 2,350$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…67c2backed Yes | 10c | 2,284$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…cc10backed Yes | 4c | 2,183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Yes | 28c | 2,104$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b70…209dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,070$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…3ba3backed Yes | 5c | 2,024$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Yes | 10c | 1,998$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…56b8backed Yes | 5c | 1,963$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 1,702$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…18bfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,585$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c9b1backed Yes | 5c | 1,559$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 79c | 1,556$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 1,503$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.63 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…1689backed Yes | 5c | 1,475$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 79c | 1,305$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…d447backed Yes | 5c | 1,288$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,268$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.62 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 70c | 1,239$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Yes | 5c | 1,234$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…723bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,191$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…d9ecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…4e7ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,116$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…71f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,095$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eeb…cf91backed Yes | 9c | 1,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…b017backed Yes | 5c | 1,082$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,072$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 66c | 1,070$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.07 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…9b89backed Yes | 2c | 1,061$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…fba0backed Yes | 23c | 1,052$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 20c | 1,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…4233backed Yes | 5c | 1,035$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…1579backed Yes | 3c | 1,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 41c | 1,031$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.41 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…b85cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,022$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…b126backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…e301backed Yes | 3c | 1,001$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…9861backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 59c | 998$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…95b2backed Yes | 6c | 995.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 988.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 43c | 975$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 53c | 970.66$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 59c | 953$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 5c | 940.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…d281backed Yes | 3c | 922.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…aacbbacked Yes | 4c | 897.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…eb65backed Yes | 6c | 894.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 71c | 876$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 2c | 867$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…140dbacked Yes | 12c | 866.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 834.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…4db3backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 59c | 824$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…61b3backed Yes | 4c | 803.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…1d5ebacked Yes | 4c | 800.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…1917backed Yes | 3c | 776.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 3c | 753.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4894…2c94backed Yes | 4c | 742.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 35cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 51c | 740$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…6c65backed Yes | 6c | 739.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 60c | 730$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.35 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 57c | 718$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…03d4backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 29c | 699.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 59c | 690$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 43c | 683$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 57c | 683$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 57c | 677$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…22a9backed Yes | 8c | 672.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 41c | 671$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…5a7fbacked Yes | 7c | 668.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 59c | 664$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 41c | 664$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5297backed Yes | 14c | 663.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 54c | 662.89$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.68 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…076abacked Yes | 5c | 662.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…2839backed Yes | 15c | 653.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 29c | 653$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 50c | 651$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 41c | 648$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 41c | 643$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 43c | 638$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 7c | 629.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?this page
- Will Alperen Sengun win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Bennedict Mathurin win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Keyonte George win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Matas Buzelis win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Michael Porter Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Yes won
- Will Nikola Jovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Ryan Rollins win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.