NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d02045553106876daed3bd4549eaa60bf0cb71b5df6ffb2dc0bad94848c24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Hawks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,224,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,682,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,224,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 70c | 360,177$251,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,761.12 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Hawks | 39c | 310,139$120,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,954.11 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Cavaliers | 53c | 245,813$130,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,284.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 169,406$82,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,080.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 40c | 141,971$57,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,431.41 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Hawks | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.97 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 46c | 69,115$32,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,038.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 53,252$30,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,341.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 50,200$31,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,075.89 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Hawks | 39c | 48,170$18,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,786.3 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 50c | 45,435$22,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,615.37 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Hawks | 39c | 43,990$17,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,356.68 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Hawks | 47c | 39,194$18,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,340.24 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 33,805$17,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,226.33 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Hawks | 52c | 29,109$15,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,118.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Hawks | 46c | 26,199$12,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,051.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…614abacked Hawks | 23c | 25,578$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Hawks | 40c | 24,346$9,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.79 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Hawks | 40c | 24,130$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,639.7 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 55c | 23,763$13,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,693.21 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 54c | 23,281$12,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,792.04 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 22,731$16,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.56 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Hawks | 27c | 21,481$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 21,323$11,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,351.59 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 55c | 21,166$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,640.16 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 62c | 20,763$12,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,831.24 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Hawks | 48c | 20,667$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,920.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 20,387$11,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,174.09 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Cavaliers | 59c | 19,749$11,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.61 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Hawks | 35c | 19,217$6,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.85 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 56c | 18,422$10,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.45 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Hawks | 48c | 17,413$8,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Hawks | 49c | 17,161$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,378.12 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…8bd4backed Hawks | 47c | 17,016$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.51 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Hawks | 42c | 16,746$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Hawks | 12c | 16,570$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.07 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 16c | 15,879$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.09 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks | 46c | 15,706$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.74 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…cba6backed Hawks | 0c | 15,135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hawks | 10c | 13,036$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.24 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Hawks | 34c | 12,882$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.15 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 26c | 12,699$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hawks | 0c | 12,564$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…85f7backed Hawks | 46c | 12,527$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.3 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks | 0c | 12,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Cavaliers | 43c | 11,084$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.85 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Hawks | 35c | 10,564$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hawks | 39c | 10,257$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.64 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Hawks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Hawks | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Cavaliers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.96 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 9,952$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.29 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 54c | 9,915$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.91 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 9,913$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.16 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 43c | 9,892$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.79 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers | 52c | 9,839$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.83 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 41c | 9,783$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Cavaliers | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.46 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 9,644$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Hawks | 30c | 9,640$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.66 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Hawks | 36c | 9,451$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.18 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 9,437$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.97 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…4245backed Cavaliers | 73c | 9,424$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.58 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.04 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 57c | 8,651$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.72 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Cavaliers | 57c | 8,624$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.36 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 68c | 8,579$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.59 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 41c | 8,309$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Cavaliers | 58c | 8,226$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Hawks | 28c | 8,082$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.8 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hawks | 58c | 7,660$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.78 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Hawks | 62c | 7,257$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.97 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 1c | 7,225$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Hawks | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.91 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Hawks | 46c | 6,961$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.26 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers | 74c | 6,852$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.07 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 6,396$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 53c | 6,317$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.85 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks | 14c | 6,217$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cavaliers | 76c | 6,073$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.56 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks | 0c | 6,018$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.95 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,929$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.93 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Hawks | 34c | 5,893$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.57 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawks | 43c | 5,682$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.73 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,601$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Hawks | 26c | 5,498$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.21 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 5,468$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.78 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Cavaliers | 57c | 5,443$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.69 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Hawks | 48c | 5,428$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.6 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 38c | 5,348$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hawks | 35c | 5,234$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.47 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 9c | 5,202$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.76 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Hawks | 41c | 5,160$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Hawks | 35c | 5,149$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.05 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Cavaliers | 57c | 5,127$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Hawks | 38c | 5,052$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.74 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Hawks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.