NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cdc508e991291b2c3f0cc92801807750779f3d86e088b7b5ae19b3e8fe065b7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hawks
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $169,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $177,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,844 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Cavaliers	34c	29,935$10,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,847.3	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks	66c	28,569$18,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,942.82	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks	47c	19,464$9,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,240.83	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	44c	18,084$8,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,033.19	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Cavaliers	45c	16,767$7,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,221.84	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	51c	12,459$6,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,125.54	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	49c	11,177$5,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,457.68	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers	51c	11,095$5,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,436.75	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Cavaliers	56c	10,643$5,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,683.12	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers	53c	9,666$5,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,552.84	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Hawks	52c	7,000$3,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,659.9	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	48c	6,157$2,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,978.52	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Cavaliers	54c	6,002$3,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,760.86	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks	55c	4,414$2,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,436.26	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Hawks	47c	4,099$1,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,926.42	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	45c	3,888$1,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Hawks	46c	2,708$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.55	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hawks	46c	2,500$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks	46c	2,393$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.97	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks	46c	2,144$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.18	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Cavaliers	48c	2,072$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.76	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers	37c	1,937$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.59	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Cavaliers	54c	1,801$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.34	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks	47c	1,489$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.62	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Hawks	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.94	56	50%28 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Hawks	52c	1,146$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.33	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers	53c	1,118$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.05	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers	45c	1,112$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.24	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hawks	52c	1,085$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.12	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hawks	47c	1,072$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.84	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Hawks	55c	1,008$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.61	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Hawks	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Cavaliers	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks	48c	996.9$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.51	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Hawks	55c	973$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.15	105	59%62 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hawks	54c	892.74$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.08	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hawks	42c	869$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.53	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers	55c	668.56$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.95	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Cavaliers	55c	663.46$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.56	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers	33c	479.9$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.53	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hawks	44c	462.82$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.64	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Hawks	51c	462.09$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.7	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Cavaliers	46c	420.7$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.18	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks	51c	395.05$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.48	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Cavaliers	46c	387.04$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cavaliers	50c	370.24$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.2	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Hawks	44c	368.4$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.64	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Cavaliers	54c	359.18$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.43	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Cavaliers	56c	347.71$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.99	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Cavaliers	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers	41c	289.38$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.73	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa462…d6cdbacked Hawks	54c	286.86$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9611…e42cbacked Cavaliers	47c	285.62$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed Hawks	55c	265.36$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.95	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-6.0wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers	44c	220.89$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.81	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Cavaliers	55c	212.31$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.54	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Hawks	58c	207.59$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.38	369	49.6%183 W · 186 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…3c5abacked Cavaliers	48c	196.57$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.22	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	44cpaid	-74%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Cavaliers	50c	195.21$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.21	114	55.3%63 W · 51 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Cavaliers	46c	194.54$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.05	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Cavaliers	54c	194.08$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.62	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Cavaliers	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Cavaliers	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Hawks	55c	176.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	211	64.5%136 W · 75 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Hawks	55c	176.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Cavaliers	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Cavaliers	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks	52c	176.08$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.88	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Cavaliers	46c	154.1$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.21	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers	45c	153.3$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.2	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Cavaliers	46c	150$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Hawks	46c	134.88$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.04	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	45c	130.02$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.02	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers	50c	129.39$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.07	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Hawks	52c	125$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Hawks	53c	121.44$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Hawks	46c	105.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks	47c	103$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.41	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Hawks	47c	99.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Cavaliers	46c	98.86$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.39	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Cavaliers	49c	98.49$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Cavaliers	50c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Cavaliers	55c	88.45$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Cavaliers	55c	88.45$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Cavaliers	55c	88.45$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	98	48%47 W · 51 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…db09backed Cavaliers	56c	86.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+7.6wins	+0.24per pick	53cpaid	+37%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Hawks	66c	85.74$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.67	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers	62c	79.6$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.11	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Cavaliers	50c	77.6$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	368	52.2%192 W · 176 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Hawks	48c	77.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…2415backed Cavaliers	54c	74.44$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Cavaliers	44c	70$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb902…cacfbacked Hawks	54c	68.07$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.76	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Hawks won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Hawks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event