NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb7f9cbf34f2504538690a91c2323daf341d3993b1cd0ea58b1dcbdf1574eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 29,706$14,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750.9 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 17,091$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 50c | 10,217$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.98 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 49c | 5,881$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 5,816$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.04 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 5,111$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.24 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 27c | 5,073$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 29c | 4,147$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.75 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 74c | 3,854$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.79 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 1c | 2,725$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 2,605$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,596$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 38c | 2,224$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.45 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 2,061$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Under | 51c | 1,802$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.54 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 72c | 1,799$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.85 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Under | 50c | 1,531$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.05 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Over | 50c | 1,284$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.14 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 51c | 1,223$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 51c | 1,033$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.62 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 966.57$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 917.23$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.82 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 74c | 909.23$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 16c | 837.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Over | 50c | 812.86$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.43 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 724.58$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 709.47$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.73 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 51c | 697.67$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Over | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 633.91$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 610.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 59c | 495.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 450$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under | 23c | 409.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 17c | 404.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 75c | 401.54$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 386.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…ac46backed Under | 17c | 368.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 365.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 72c | 362.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 359.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 50c | 312.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 7c | 306.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 51c | 302.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 297.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Under | 51c | 295.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Over | 51c | 287.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 17c | 271.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Under | 17c | 256.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 218.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Over | 49c | 180.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 169.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 168.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Over | 50c | 148.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 74c | 147.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 142.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 140.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 123.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 51c | 110.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 103.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Over | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…4badbacked Over | 71c | 97.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…fb4fbacked Under | 30c | 96.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 30c | 90.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 54c | 90.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Under | 17c | 90.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 51c | 89.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 86.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 17c | 78.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 51c | 70.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 76c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 63c | 63.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 50c | 59.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 31c | 59.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…ada9backed Under | 18c | 58.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4dd8backed Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.