NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee91d3310de8be402999b06006b674313d5e5dc77e0293ddab2f5bd4b9aa0499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,185$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.88 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 1,553$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Hawks | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Hawks | 48c | 741.68$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 730.49$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Hawks | 36c | 649.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.84 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Hawks | 25c | 487.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.01 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Hawks | 20c | 476$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawks | 25c | 401.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Hawks | 22c | 385.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 266.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Hawks | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cavaliers | 35c | 210.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fb…a785backed Hawks | 44c | 200.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawks | 33c | 199.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Hawks | 44c | 176.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hawks | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 152.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Hawks | 48c | 135.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 114.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Hawks | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hawks | 45c | 101.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Cavaliers | 57c | 83.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…4789backed Cavaliers | 57c | 83.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 83.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…f34ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 79.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Hawks | 38c | 78.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hawks | 42c | 73.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hawks | 42c | 73.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Hawks | 42c | 73.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Hawks | 42c | 73.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Hawks | 42c | 73.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Hawks | 25c | 72.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…81f9backed Cavaliers | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Hawks | 70c | 55.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Hawks | 44c | 50.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…451dbacked Hawks | 45c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 38.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Hawks | 33c | 34.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Cavaliers | 57c | 33.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…5af8backed Cavaliers | 60c | 30.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Cavaliers | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Hawks | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 27.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Cavaliers | 65c | 22.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…ec21backed Cavaliers | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Cavaliers | 67c | 20.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cavaliers | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Cavaliers | 59c | 19.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.