TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over53c20,312$10,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,473.831050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c16,282$7,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,593.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c9,430$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.841,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over53c3,055$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.7314556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under32c1,380$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.581,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under24c1,368$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.875425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over79c1,321$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.521,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c1,309$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.240451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over52c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c880.63$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c800$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over51c783.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1512540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over64c764.79$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.611478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c739.63$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.831,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c724.03$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c663.95$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c661.28$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c599.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.981,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked Over53c583.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over52c566.19$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.771560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over52c447.13$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.621172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under46c372.08$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1655751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c348.73$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over74c332.57$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4711873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c328.66$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c321.92$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Under48c304.96$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c300.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over52c296.4$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2717850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Under48c291.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.995547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x241c…2893backed Over52c273.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd21f…88bdbacked Under49c271.43$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c263.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over51c259.58$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.199845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over74c241.58$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.814852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.618540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c150.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under49c138.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8611354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over51c134.85$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.172,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over52c115.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.584052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c114.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c113.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.721,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c103.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under49c100.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Under46c98.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.483429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under48c98.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.178948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over53c97.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7410745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under48c96.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.154544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf9…c81bbacked Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8215442.2%65 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Under48c77.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under48c70.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9115651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.066237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc05e…5f93backed Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.084965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c58.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8917949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.854858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2338464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6aa…766abacked Under49c46.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…296ebacked Over49c45.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.719646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1439…00debacked Under49c44.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.353066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c40.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over57c38.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5410657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f61…7ea7backed Under49c37.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e6f…c022backed Under49c37.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c37.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.934238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82cf…b944backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under46c33.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5323840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under47c32.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5137753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.519949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over52c31.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9220558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5321649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over50c28.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed Over53c27.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.118360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Over54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.434866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ad…0f2cbacked Under49c25.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under49c24.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2153349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over51c22.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1218548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…b5e1backed Over54c19.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over74c16.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3246255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.