TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc05e…5f93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.12
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.45
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.09
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.49
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.31
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$29.33
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$110.23
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT3974.4%29 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$36.54
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.43
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.18
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$32.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.45
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$45.84
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.96
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$78.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.