TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$445,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Devils45c60,073$27,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,048.8114650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings55c24,995$13,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,747.1848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Devils44c24,863$10,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,009.2567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings55c19,232$10,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,573.8327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Red Wings55c17,898$9,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,843.92347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Red Wings56c17,500$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.955756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Devils43c12,500$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,124.9712950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Devils45c9,598$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,298.041,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Devils36c9,131$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.1440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Red Wings55c9,056$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Devils48c8,261$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,295.652,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings57c8,148$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.311,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils44c8,122$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.111,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Red Wings53c7,093$3,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.0312838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2305…0acebacked Red Wings57c5,825$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Devils43c5,730$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.994450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Red Wings56c5,405$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.9424749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils47c5,344$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Red Wings56c5,334$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.745276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings55c4,897$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.3761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings60c4,882$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings55c4,806$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings39c4,632$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.0775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Devils44c4,499$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.9789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Devils44c4,048$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.115446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Devils44c4,000$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.6476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Red Wings57c3,874$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.2519050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Red Wings53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils43c3,716$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.231,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Red Wings55c3,623$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Devils44c3,331$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.2785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Devils46c3,219$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.0111644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Red Wings56c3,021$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.913641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Red Wings55c2,924$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Red Wings69c2,915$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.2418452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings56c2,367$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.7860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Devils44c2,110$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Red Wings56c2,004$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.42055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Red Wings56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Devils45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1005455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9625447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Red Wings55c1,914$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Devils44c1,820$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.1561959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Devils44c1,669$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.8713850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Devils58c1,660$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7533234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Devils48c1,642$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.7312654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings67c1,618$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.841,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Red Wings56c1,509$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.929751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings55c1,397$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.5243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Red Wings52c1,303$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.413154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Wings67c1,234$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.852172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Devils45c1,221$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3510941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Devils45c1,172$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Red Wings57c1,135$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.786657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87e…271cbacked Red Wings55c1,122$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Red Wings56c1,116$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6255255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…592cbacked Red Wings56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Red Wings60c1,098$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66117353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Red Wings55c1,095$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.2511243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings37c1,067$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.42,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Devils43c1,064$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Red Wings55c1,040$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Red Wings56c1,020$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Red Wings55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2408…b5a9backed Red Wings57c994$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Red Wings55c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.530946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Red Wings55c906$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.320756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Red Wings77c905$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d24…b6ddbacked Red Wings56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed Red Wings56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Red Wings56c892.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2b…6813backed Red Wings57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Red Wings59c872.24$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4514946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Devils36c836.58$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings54c821.68$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.22,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6941…d614backed Red Wings56c805.02$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.562429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Red Wings55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44045749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Red Wings56c798.47$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44549746.5%231 W · 266 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings52c758.46$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Devils43c745$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.0611551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8f…1d08backed Red Wings57c729$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.531952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings54c708.6$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Devils41c704.47$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.473423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-44.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Red Wings56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924077.5%31 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Red Wings57c696$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.721675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64da…2292backed Devils45c672.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9719154.5%104 W · 87 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…5780backed Red Wings56c669.3$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Devils48c625.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.5214052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dbe…6fc0backed Devils44c620$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Red Wings67c599.76$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.735444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Red Wings67c599.36$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.719150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4885…a8f4backed Devils44c577.38$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789a…1ddabacked Devils48c575.46$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.237258.3%42 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…e529backed Devils44c559.75$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.462343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Red Wings55c559.71$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3720147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Devils45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5629946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dba…3e7bbacked Devils44c539.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.