NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76cd3d874cd7c69025d4c2206065337a97a290e30cda39708debbaba08473a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Devils | 45c | 60,073$27,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,048.81 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 55c | 24,995$13,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,747.18 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Devils | 44c | 24,863$10,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,009.25 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 55c | 19,232$10,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,573.83 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Red Wings | 55c | 17,898$9,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,843.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Red Wings | 56c | 17,500$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Devils | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.97 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 45c | 9,598$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Devils | 36c | 9,131$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.14 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…1c50backed Red Wings | 55c | 9,056$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 48c | 8,261$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.65 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 57c | 8,148$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 44c | 8,122$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.11 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Red Wings | 53c | 7,093$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.03 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked Red Wings | 57c | 5,825$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Devils | 43c | 5,730$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Wings | 56c | 5,405$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.94 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 47c | 5,344$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Red Wings | 56c | 5,334$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.74 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,897$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.37 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings | 60c | 4,882$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.1 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,806$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 39c | 4,632$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.07 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Devils | 44c | 4,499$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.97 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Devils | 44c | 4,048$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.11 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Devils | 44c | 4,000$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.64 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Red Wings | 57c | 3,874$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.25 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 43c | 3,716$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.23 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Wings | 55c | 3,623$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 44c | 3,331$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.27 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Devils | 46c | 3,219$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.01 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 3,021$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.91 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,924$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Red Wings | 69c | 2,915$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.24 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,367$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Devils | 44c | 2,110$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.64 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 2,004$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Red Wings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Devils | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,914$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.15 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Devils | 44c | 1,669$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.87 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Devils | 58c | 1,660$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.75 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Devils | 48c | 1,642$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.73 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 67c | 1,618$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.84 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,509$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.92 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,397$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.52 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,303$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.41 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Wings | 67c | 1,234$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Devils | 45c | 1,221$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.35 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Devils | 45c | 1,172$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.6 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,135$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.78 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…271cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,122$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,116$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…592cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,098$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,067$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Devils | 43c | 1,064$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.52 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,040$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…b5a9backed Red Wings | 57c | 994$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Red Wings | 55c | 906$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Red Wings | 77c | 905$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Red Wings | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Red Wings | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Red Wings | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Red Wings | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Red Wings | 59c | 872.24$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.45 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devils | 36c | 836.58$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.98 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 54c | 821.68$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Red Wings | 56c | 805.02$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Red Wings | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Red Wings | 56c | 798.47$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 52c | 758.46$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.4 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Devils | 43c | 745$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.06 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…1d08backed Red Wings | 57c | 729$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 54c | 708.6$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.61 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Devils | 41c | 704.47$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Red Wings | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Red Wings | 57c | 696$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Devils | 45c | 672.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…5780backed Red Wings | 56c | 669.3$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Devils | 48c | 625.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbe…6fc0backed Devils | 44c | 620$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Red Wings | 67c | 599.76$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.73 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Red Wings | 67c | 599.36$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…a8f4backed Devils | 44c | 577.38$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Devils | 48c | 575.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.23 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…e529backed Devils | 44c | 559.75$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Red Wings | 55c | 559.71$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.37 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Devils | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…3e7bbacked Devils | 44c | 539.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Devils vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Devils vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.