TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c6,840$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c3,951$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.752,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under48c3,193$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under45c3,100$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.9313946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c2,509$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under43c1,743$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.8379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over63c1,718$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.882,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over57c1,701$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.916956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over64c1,429$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.232450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c1,107$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.661,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under30c1,078$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under37c1,037$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under37c980.31$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.992,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0511453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under43c937.28$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c919.49$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1524151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over62c821.86$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.211,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c710.36$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.711,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c531.92$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c525.74$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.21,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under46c486.46$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c456.84$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.943,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under36c407.37$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8121147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under46c398.87$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.867153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under40c354.73$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Over54c341.32$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.01850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Over53c334.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.272147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under41c314.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c312.81$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over63c310.09$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.732864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under45c282.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4719254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c256.06$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c227.29$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.041,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over52c219.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9310447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over67c209.87$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over53c206.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2920040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under47c203.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8554246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under42c201.4$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.135052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under48c187.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1124849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over55c186.82$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under47c184.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8711143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over56c184.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under53c181.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2140344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over54c176.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under46c171.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under37c158.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.611,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.434360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over56c153.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6636949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c146.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.411,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Under50c143.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8826354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebfd…ad3dbacked Over50c142.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.211283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+72.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c140.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x206d…7c44backed Under48c131.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c119$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.141,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over51c117.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1717651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Under17c110.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.577316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c106.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.351,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over53c105.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7915650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c100.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over54c99.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9144747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4511653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over44c98.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.358844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.793948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c95.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5334247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under48c93.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Under45c91.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2310743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c90.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3614444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Under50c87.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.441936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over53c85.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1916245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over56c82.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5513138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.953863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over56c78.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under39c76.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under45c74.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c72.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.782,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over55c68.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c67.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc05e…5f93backed Over63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.974965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over55c61.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under39c61.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0910523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over65c60.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under19c59.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.188134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c57.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Over59c56.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.125129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over53c55.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0314753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Over64c55.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc215…c9bcbacked Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…129dbacked Under43c54.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c53.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ef…ed56backed Over59c50.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over59c49.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2237853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over58c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7115449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.