NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8706d1562adfb0a2fac41774b27dffb4baceae8215d1440c7f65834662873c99

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Magic, Celtics
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $339,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $355,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics	48c	61,615$29,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,050.8	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Magic	52c	56,244$29,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,246.77	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics	48c	44,999$21,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,399.41	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Celtics	46c	16,030$7,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,711.8	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Magic	53c	14,691$7,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,740.66	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Magic	51c	12,804$6,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,496.53	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics	49c	10,706$5,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,460.14	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics	48c	10,633$5,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,539.47	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Celtics	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics	49c	9,979$4,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,089.31	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics	48c	9,533$4,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,967.23	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Magic	52c	9,338$4,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,856	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic	54c	9,288$5,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,016.05	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Celtics	50c	8,831$4,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,422.04	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics	45c	8,247$3,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,552.95	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Magic	53c	8,191$4,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,354.22	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4900…fc5abacked Magic	52c	8,145$4,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,235.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dba…10dabacked Magic	52c	7,674$3,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,990.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics	47c	6,164$2,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,241.79	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Magic	51c	5,900$3,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,008.86	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Magic	52c	5,715$2,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,971.87	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Magic	54c	5,545$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,995.9	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Magic	50c	5,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,519.99	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Magic	53c	4,967$2,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.9	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Magic	52c	4,612$2,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,406.61	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics	48c	4,575$2,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,393.91	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Magic	52c	4,327$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250.15	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic	51c	4,206$2,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,144.96	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Magic	52c	4,038$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.73	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Magic	50c	3,938$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,969.1	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Celtics	49c	3,932$1,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,005.26	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics	50c	3,880$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics	46c	3,750$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,025.08	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics	48c	3,489$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.51	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Magic	51c	3,300$1,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Celtics	49c	2,866$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.79	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Magic	51c	2,725$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.72	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics	47c	2,698$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.7	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Magic	51c	2,623$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.5	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Magic	56c	2,527$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.61	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics	48c	2,500$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.52	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Magic	51c	2,484$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.7	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Magic	52c	2,314$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.36	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic	53c	2,146$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.25	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Magic	51c	2,100$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.81	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Magic	51c	2,072$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.74	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Celtics	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Magic	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.99	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Magic	51c	1,970$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.16	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics	45c	1,831$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.78	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Magic	51c	1,739$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.13	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics	46c	1,616$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.27	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Celtics	47c	1,612$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.16	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa93…5c47backed Magic	51c	1,523$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Magic	52c	1,500$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.21	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics	50c	1,456$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.7	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Magic	53c	1,381$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.73	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Celtics	48c	1,220$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.21	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Celtics	49c	1,208$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.26	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics	48c	1,193$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.36	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Celtics	44c	1,116$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.71	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Magic	55c	1,115$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.19	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Magic	50c	1,077$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.35	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Magic	52c	1,071$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.8	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Magic	47c	1,040$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.17	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics	48c	1,040$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.8	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics	49c	1,039$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.77	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Magic	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.17	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Magic	52c	971.2$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.02	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Celtics	50c	970$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Magic	52c	933.85$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.6	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Magic	52c	928.92$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.68	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Magic	53c	916.79$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.9	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f1…7d21backed Celtics	49c	884.33$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.01	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Magic	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Magic	52c	790.3$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.15	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6334…1a91backed Magic	52c	747.08$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.48	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Magic	52c	747.08$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.48	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Magic	57c	746.71$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.96	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Magic	53c	736.62$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.66	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics	44c	731.33$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.96	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Magic	57c	683.65$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.68	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics	45c	634.29$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.78	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Magic	57c	612.72$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.25	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Magic	53c	600.91$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.51	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics	48c	600.01$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.41	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Magic	50c	582$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Magic	53c	550.08$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.54	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Magic	53c	550.08$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.54	368	52.2%192 W · 176 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Magic	51c	530.28$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.44	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-7.1wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Celtics	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Celtics	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics	48c	473.24$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.97	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic	51c	455.96$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.54	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Magic	52c	443.74$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.75	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc33…3127backed Celtics	49c	439.2$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.99	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Magic	37c	404.06$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.9	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Magic	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Magic	52c	388.48$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.01	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Magic (-12.5)this page
1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-10.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-8.5)Celtics won
Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event