NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6bdd6904e703056f660b83322dd3bfe91bf0dd8257f829ad6a1de8352118137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Magic | 58c | 639,485$370,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370,122.53 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 42c | 458,855$192,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,135.74 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 42c | 150,000$63,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Celtics | 43c | 149,835$64,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,405.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Magic | 58c | 48,725$28,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,016.95 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 57c | 42,728$24,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,355 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Magic | 52c | 6,313$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Celtics | 48c | 4,893$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Celtics | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.96 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Celtics | 44c | 3,782$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.25 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 57c | 3,246$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 42c | 2,719$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.07 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Celtics | 39c | 2,542$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.79 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Celtics | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Magic | 61c | 2,347$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.04 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 41c | 2,109$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.27 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 59c | 2,067$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.25 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 41c | 2,026$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics | 42c | 1,542$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.72 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Celtics | 33c | 1,297$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.01 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 55c | 1,174$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 59c | 1,142$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.85 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Magic | 57c | 1,126$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.61 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 58c | 1,005$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.51 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…a528backed Magic | 59c | 1,005$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…e850backed Celtics | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Celtics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Magic | 59c | 994.91$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 58c | 947.44$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.51 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Magic | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 42c | 836.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Magic | 59c | 825$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.57 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Magic | 2c | 669.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 58c | 639.5$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 41c | 601.39$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Magic | 58c | 588.24$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Celtics | 44c | 586.24$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Magic | 57c | 530.12$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Magic | 59c | 497.16$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Magic | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Magic | 38c | 485.69$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Celtics | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Celtics | 41c | 476.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cff…9802backed Magic | 65c | 473.61$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…e458backed Magic | 57c | 424.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…5112backed Magic | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Magic | 61c | 400.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Magic | 58c | 383.7$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 42c | 349.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Magic | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics | 56c | 332.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Magic | 59c | 329.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Magic | 58c | 329.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 58c | 319.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Magic | 58c | 315.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 58c | 315.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 58c | 315.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6cccbacked Celtics | 44c | 310.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf0…58eebacked Magic | 58c | 303.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…5d90backed Magic | 57c | 272.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0dbabacked Celtics | 43c | 263.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40a…f0d9backed Magic | 58c | 258.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…0465backed Celtics | 43c | 250.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Celtics | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…2aa7backed Celtics | 43c | 223.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Celtics | 43c | 222.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Celtics | 43c | 212.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Magic | 58c | 211.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Magic | 58c | 204.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Magic | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Magic | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Magic | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Magic | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked Magic | 58c | 167.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Magic | 59c | 165.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Magic | 59c | 162.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…a867backed Magic | 58c | 156.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…40babacked Magic | 18c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 41c | 126.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Celtics | 44c | 125.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c3…9522backed Magic | 58c | 122.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Celtics | 43c | 112.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Celtics | 42c | 106.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Celtics | 46c | 103.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Celtics | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…2c1abacked Magic | 58c | 98.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Magic | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…2b63backed Magic | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Magic | 66c | 89.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 72c | 87.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Magic | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Celtics | 47c | 85.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 57c | 83.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics | 33c | 83.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Magic | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Magic | 59c | 78.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.