NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf5cef34ca3678dfaf90697e095b1815b7836c6353ea1dd531b959ae9e8589a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 21c | 11,111$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,777.68 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 79c | 10,807$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,531.63 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Celtics | 19c | 4,843$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Celtics | 40c | 2,440$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.01 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 68c | 1,948$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics | 54c | 1,390$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 52c | 1,368$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Magic | 79c | 1,322$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.81 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Magic | 28c | 1,270$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 71c | 1,209$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.52 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Celtics | 29c | 969.66$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.46 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Celtics | 13c | 717.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.92 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Magic | 71c | 550.81$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Celtics | 22c | 454.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 69c | 436.87$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 72c | 412.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Magic | 58c | 375.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Magic | 50c | 365.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 62c | 357.12$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Magic | 53c | 320.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Magic | 76c | 276.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 22c | 237.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic | 31c | 236$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Magic | 45c | 200.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Celtics | 50c | 194.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 62c | 186.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Magic | 66c | 173.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Celtics | 23c | 164.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Magic | 71c | 164.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Magic | 70c | 128.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Magic | 77c | 128.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 41c | 124.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Celtics | 50c | 122.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Celtics | 31c | 113.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Celtics | 20c | 112.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 35c | 108.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 77c | 102.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…8fdebacked Celtics | 52c | 100.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Celtics | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Magic | 78c | 99.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Celtics | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Celtics | 57c | 95.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Magic | 79c | 93.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Celtics | 20c | 91.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Magic | 35c | 90.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Celtics | 20c | 89.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Magic | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Magic | 24c | 75.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Magic | 48c | 70.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Magic | 71c | 66.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Celtics | 38c | 63.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Magic | 31c | 63.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Celtics | 54c | 63.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Magic | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Celtics | 64c | 61.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 65c | 61.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Magic | 36c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 77c | 59.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked Magic | 54c | 46.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Magic | 33c | 42.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Celtics | 57c | 40.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Magic | 69c | 39.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Celtics | 62c | 35.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Magic | 32c | 35.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Magic | 71c | 32.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Celtics | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Magic | 78c | 27.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Magic | 79c | 24.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Celtics | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Celtics | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4188…8737backed Celtics | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Magic | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Magic | 64c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Magic | 66c | 18.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked Magic | 65c | 17.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Magic | 80c | 17.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…20b7backed Magic | 71c | 16.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.