NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2476e9912ff12701483f659ee6b62107ca5049fced1e41031ea2d2977329c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,266$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 61c | 1,595$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.65 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 39c | 1,467$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 52c | 1,404$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.45 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.52 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,092$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 1,067$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 47c | 999.94$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 864.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 670.44$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 55c | 408.41$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 42c | 406.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 208.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 54c | 153.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 133.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Over | 63c | 124.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Under | 50c | 103.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 103.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 44c | 101.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 37c | 96.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 54c | 95.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over | 53c | 92.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Under | 46c | 80.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 73.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 48c | 66.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 53c | 59.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 58.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 39c | 44.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…7d22backed Under | 49c | 39.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 38.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 37.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 32c | 37.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 36.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Over | 56c | 35.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Over | 55c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…3528backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 53c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Over | 63c | 22.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 22.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 68c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.