NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x183845b844d0919586101a448a97c0cf9bbc83a0b32abeed0c0819dd86f6239d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 15,681$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,683.75 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,866$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 6,374$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 5,342$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.97 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 3,914$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 3,393$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 3,340$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.56 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 46c | 3,157$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.58 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.91 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 2,568$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 58c | 2,216$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.19 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 52c | 2,201$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.55 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 2,167$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.88 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.03 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,269$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 31c | 1,090$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.1 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Under | 53c | 994.85$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 51c | 967.92$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.25 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 936.44$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.58 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 49c | 821.5$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 749.24$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 49c | 722.83$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 722.55$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 722.25$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.62 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 722.25$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.62 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 693.91$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 49c | 693.91$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 524.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.56 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 5c | 412$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 393.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 320.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 316.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 286.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 55c | 270.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 52c | 263.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Over | 36c | 221.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 45c | 210.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 197.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 50c | 193.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 189$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…39babacked Under | 52c | 182.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 50c | 179.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 65c | 169$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 158.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked Under | 68c | 143.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 128.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 38c | 126.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 51c | 113.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…81b9backed Under | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 12c | 112.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 52c | 106.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 52c | 105.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Under | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 37c | 100.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 57c | 98.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked Under | 52c | 97.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 40c | 95.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 50c | 95.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 52c | 93.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 56c | 88.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 49c | 80.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Under | 47c | 75.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…41c1backed Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 52c | 74.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 73.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 63.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…18f1backed Under | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 50c | 54.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 68 | 76.5%52 W · 16 L | +12.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Under | 52c | 48.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 42c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.