NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aea2611f3dcf28b5b75eb00cadf7140f3617849e7383d16c18793adf5817302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,612,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,993,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,612,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 15c | 792,328$118,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673,479.08 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 15c | 569,996$85,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484,496.51 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Magic | 21c | 249,898$52,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,707.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 72c | 84,301$60,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,734.18 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Celtics | 14c | 70,008$9,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,422.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics | 34c | 61,437$20,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,580.96 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Celtics | 39c | 46,833$18,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,561.2 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Magic | 79c | 43,948$34,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,867.21 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…f43ebacked Celtics | 76c | 40,733$30,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,865.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Celtics | 80c | 36,517$29,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,303.43 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 71c | 31,408$22,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,057.6 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Magic | 66c | 30,197$20,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,018.14 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Magic | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Magic | 66c | 19,942$13,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,161.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Celtics | 11c | 18,930$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,872.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 44c | 17,945$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.78 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Celtics | 17c | 16,933$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,993.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 39c | 16,403$6,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,946.08 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Celtics | 17c | 15,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 56c | 14,597$8,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,176.18 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Magic | 8c | 14,193$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.37 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Celtics | 17c | 13,600$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,288.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 74c | 13,018$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,575.37 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Celtics | 64c | 12,934$8,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.34 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Magic | 23c | 12,004$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.13 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Magic | 50c | 11,459$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.03 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 11,447$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Celtics | 45c | 11,132$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.63 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 54c | 10,324$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.8 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 7c | 10,321$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.15 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 77c | 10,262$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.76 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Celtics | 20c | 10,219$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,174.93 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Celtics | 18c | 10,132$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.12 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Magic | 7c | 10,129$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.94 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 12c | 10,087$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.24 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Celtics | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.96 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Magic | 18c | 10,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Celtics | 17c | 9,875$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,196.25 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Magic | 1c | 9,495$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Celtics | 61c | 9,076$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.07 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Magic | 57c | 8,667$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.37 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Celtics | 7c | 8,573$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.04 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Celtics | 16c | 8,546$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Magic | 16c | 8,219$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.49 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Magic | 71c | 8,033$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.99 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 31c | 7,933$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.31 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 41c | 7,878$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.17 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Magic | 59c | 7,604$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.97 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 47c | 7,537$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.77 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Celtics | 15c | 7,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375.12 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Magic | 19c | 7,499$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.96 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Celtics | 13c | 7,252$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.37 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Celtics | 8c | 7,251$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.35 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Magic | 72c | 7,052$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.21 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Magic | 19c | 6,940$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.8 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Celtics | 72c | 6,866$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.58 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 55c | 6,861$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.2 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Celtics | 22c | 6,708$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.75 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Celtics | 18c | 6,309$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 9c | 6,229$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.46 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Celtics | 15c | 6,043$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.59 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Celtics | 20c | 5,967$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.08 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 55c | 5,960$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.81 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Celtics | 20c | 5,796$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.61 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 16c | 5,698$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Celtics | 13c | 5,693$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,934.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Magic | 20c | 5,648$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.13 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 76c | 5,501$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.3 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Celtics | 68c | 5,482$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.69 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Celtics | 53c | 5,463$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.31 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 16c | 5,356$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.81 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…db79backed Magic | 71c | 5,286$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.39 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Celtics | 22c | 5,167$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.86 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Celtics | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 10c | 5,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Celtics | 24c | 4,884$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.56 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Magic | 39c | 4,863$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.99 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Magic | 43c | 4,798$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.25 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Celtics | 75c | 4,563$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Celtics | 24c | 4,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.99 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Celtics | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Magic | 74c | 4,260$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.93 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Magic | 23c | 4,204$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Magic | 12c | 4,059$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.69 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics | 76c | 4,048$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.55 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Celtics | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 23c | 3,967$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.41 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Celtics | 16c | 3,798$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.66 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 79c | 3,667$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Magic | 25c | 3,517$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.93 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 26c | 3,492$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Celtics | 15c | 3,409$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.62 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 79c | 3,387$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Magic | 30c | 3,295$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.87 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 65c | 3,275$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…53c4backed Celtics | 19c | 3,248$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics | 15c | 3,248$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.68 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Celtics | 29c | 3,244$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.48 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 30c | 3,236$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.68 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.