NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77801accd232c97a3beabe7af0cd53b0c9874b26bedbd26ddc3ccd1a4fb23a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 35c | 3,860$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Celtics | 54c | 3,612$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.54 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 52c | 2,808$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 65c | 1,966$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Celtics | 35c | 1,453$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.5 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Celtics | 25c | 1,406$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.68 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 48c | 840.03$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fd…0179backed Magic | 65c | 653.22$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 44c | 518.91$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 37c | 394.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 66c | 390.37$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…3811backed Magic | 65c | 369.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Magic | 65c | 367.13$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Magic | 59c | 332.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Magic | 64c | 314.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Magic | 65c | 293.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…88a0backed Magic | 62c | 270.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Magic | 62c | 183.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Celtics | 36c | 173.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Magic | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Magic | 65c | 146.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Magic | 62c | 136.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…ea88backed Celtics | 38c | 131$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…7310backed Celtics | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Magic | 62c | 127.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…5ae8backed Celtics | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Magic | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…26b7backed Magic | 62c | 107.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 61c | 106.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…fe3ebacked Magic | 62c | 104.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Magic | 65c | 102.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Celtics | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Celtics | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…67e9backed Magic | 75c | 99.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Magic | 64c | 99.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…fd62backed Celtics | 38c | 97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 25c | 92.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 62c | 90.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…a5f9backed Magic | 62c | 85.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…2c1abacked Magic | 61c | 82.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…1b94backed Magic | 62c | 82.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8eebbacked Celtics | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…d069backed Celtics | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Celtics | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed Celtics | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e0cabacked Celtics | 39c | 77.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Magic | 64c | 77.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Celtics | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Magic | 65c | 75.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9133backed Magic | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Magic | 66c | 73.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…bfefbacked Celtics | 39c | 73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077b…11d4backed Celtics | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 36c | 67.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc5…1ea2backed Celtics | 38c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Celtics | 38c | 62.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…ff8abacked Celtics | 40c | 60.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Magic | 64c | 58.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Celtics | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…978cbacked Magic | 62c | 54.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Magic | 65c | 52.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…436cbacked Magic | 62c | 51.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…0bffbacked Magic | 62c | 46.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…3ceabacked Magic | 62c | 45.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…cd2fbacked Magic | 62c | 44.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…6045backed Magic | 62c | 39.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…7767backed Magic | 62c | 39.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Magic | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Magic | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Magic | 62c | 38.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Magic | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…f13abacked Magic | 62c | 38.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…bc03backed Magic | 62c | 37.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Magic | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…8b41backed Magic | 61c | 35.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…c4d6backed Magic | 62c | 35.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics | 38c | 35.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…c2f4backed Celtics | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…2fbabacked Magic | 62c | 34.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…15adbacked Magic | 62c | 33.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b7dcbacked Celtics | 38c | 33.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390e…4fb7backed Celtics | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…0694backed Celtics | 38c | 32.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Celtics | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Magic | 61c | 31.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked Magic | 62c | 31.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…48debacked Celtics | 38c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…8a41backed Celtics | 38c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 61c | 30.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00d…e9b0backed Magic | 62c | 30.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…c97ebacked Magic | 60c | 30.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Magic | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Magic | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…6d5dbacked Magic | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…eeadbacked Magic | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…6bc6backed Magic | 62c | 28.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…c4b1backed Magic | 61c | 28.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Celtics won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.