TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1093…2aa7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category MLB at 50 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.18
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.35
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.18
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$97.07
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.15
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.82
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$127.51
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.51
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.47
Spread: Hornets (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$90.99
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.7
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$91.45
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$102.81
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.98
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.98
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.39
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$127.95
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.