MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71238b94772290d488012c8a87df15865c1599e82548f6cd1ad19ab725b54281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Cleveland Guardians, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 262,196$123,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,034.59 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 242,950$128,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,763.5 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 23,188$12,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,289.84 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 16,216$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,126.43 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 10,903$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.5 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,519$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.93 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,086$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.08 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,502$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 4,352$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.73 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 4,321$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.53 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,477$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.76 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,944$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.11 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,935$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.94 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,603$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.31 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 2,441$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.71 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 2,407$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,362$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.05 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 2,341$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.79 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,224$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.83 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,089$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.37 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,039$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,024$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.28 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,961$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.8 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,847$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.86 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,647$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.67 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…921abacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,587$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,566$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.12 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,522$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.47 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.85 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,337$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.16 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,299$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 1,192$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.18 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,154$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 1,126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.36 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…39f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 900$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 896.85$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 783.8$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 750$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 735.52$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.41 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 710.23$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 663.5$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 608.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 550.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 549.3$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.51 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 538.19$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.82 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 510.15$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 505.64$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…c94bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 486.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 442.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 427.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 426.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.18 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.44 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 397.48$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 396.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 396.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 394.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 392.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 374.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 360$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 357.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.25 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 351.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 313.37$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 309.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 308.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 306.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 303.2$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 301.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 293.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 267.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 262.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…396fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 261.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,477.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 244.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 238.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 238.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…ddc3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 234.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 232.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 222.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 209.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…5882backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 208.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 208.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 206.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4f…7e6dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 203.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.