TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Jazz50c59,252$29,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,625.8272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers50c48,500$24,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,25036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Lakers50c38,337$19,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,262.4360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz50c24,015$12,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,004.921,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Jazz51c8,153$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.0512056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz45c6,961$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.641,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5b…8e29backed Lakers55c5,986$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.543063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers54c5,648$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.8910949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Jazz0c5,577$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.977316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Jazz50c4,656$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers72c4,652$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.542,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Lakers50c4,284$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.581,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz50c3,637$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.031,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz51c2,912$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.0287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Lakers50c2,170$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.944465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Jazz50c2,037$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Jazz50c1,942$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.9717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz52c1,936$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.841,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers50c1,856$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Lakers50c1,846$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2127455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Lakers50c1,434$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1213563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers49c1,329$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz46c1,014$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…287dbacked Jazz30c1,001$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Lakers49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51011945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz53c966.59$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Lakers69c762.34$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.264173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Lakers69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.468752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Jazz50c679$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz42c674.81$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.552,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Jazz51c666.1$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7150954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Lakers49c557.28$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.411,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Jazz52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Lakers46c483.8$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Lakers53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.725550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Jazz51c388.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Lakers50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz50c385.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Lakers55c364.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.584953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Lakers51c361.13$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8130453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Lakers51c361.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Lakers51c336.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0432450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Lakers51c336.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Lakers51c336.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers51c336.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Lakers51c336.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Jazz19c330$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.610239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Lakers50c304.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Lakers50c301.8$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Lakers51c293.01$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Lakers50c274.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5419659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Lakers50c264.81$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4110750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Jazz51c258.83$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Jazz51c258.83$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Jazz48c250.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.292035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Jazz13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz28c233.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.372,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Jazz42c231.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Jazz48c212.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.945040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Lakers50c203.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8511858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Jazz43c202.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.893636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Lakers50c199.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.249150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Jazz50c198.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4326553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Lakers57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Jazz51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Lakers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Lakers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Lakers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2513148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Jazz52c187.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.19346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1093…2aa7backed Jazz52c186.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Lakers64c184.82$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Lakers49c184.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Lakers50c180.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Lakers58c169.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9411551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Lakers58c168.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4216959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Lakers50c165.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9411050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Lakers50c165.26$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3222953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Lakers50c165.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5615650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Lakers50c164.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.253951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Lakers50c164.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Lakers50c135.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.94763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Jazz51c133.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9434849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Jazz41c133.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Jazz46c126.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2140750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jazz43c126.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Jazz44c125.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Lakers49c122.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2920443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Lakers51c118.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.231354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Lakers50c115.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4327246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Jazz49c112.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7923549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Jazz51c110.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Lakers50c103.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7513554.8%74 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Lakers47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5927549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Jazz38c98.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Lakers51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6315352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz41c92.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.761,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Jazz54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6266046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Lakers50c83.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Lakers51c83.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.