NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Lakers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb01330f64761f0addbeb44d5c6aa05a55a3bf9f94a36d613777f1be099e6d25

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Jazz, Lakers
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,015,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,027,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Jazz	9c	232,550$20,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,929.46	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	3c	69,307$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.99	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Jazz	2c	46,600$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.71	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz	11c	24,389$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640.27	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Jazz	5c	22,047$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.82	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz	3c	20,897$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.66	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Jazz	2c	20,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz	2c	19,978$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.98	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz	4c	16,917$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.95	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz	7c	15,433$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.22	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Jazz	6c	14,921$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.18	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	4c	13,977$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.44	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz	0c	12,761$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.67	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz	12c	11,643$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397.21	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz	9c	10,533$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.63	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Jazz	9c	8,830$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.69	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Jazz	10c	8,410$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.19	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Jazz	11c	7,724$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.68	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Jazz	11c	7,389$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.24	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e9…1059backed Jazz	7c	7,150$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.91	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Jazz	9c	7,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.99	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz	0c	6,933$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz	4c	6,767$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.88	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Jazz	15c	6,308$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.18	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jazz	10c	6,210$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.96	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz	11c	6,024$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.62	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Jazz	10c	5,215$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.52	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ac…b255backed Jazz	10c	4,721$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.05	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	10c	3,926$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.59	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jazz	5c	3,805$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.67	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	5c	3,327$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.73	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Jazz	9c	3,275$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.78	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz	8c	2,865$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.3	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…fde1backed Jazz	0c	2,837$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Jazz	9c	2,578$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.99	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz	1c	2,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	123	4.9%6 W · 117 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Jazz	5c	2,352$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.63	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz	8c	2,293$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.4	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	10c	2,213$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.28	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	10c	2,160$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Jazz	7c	2,130$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.91	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	7c	2,033$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.68	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Jazz	11c	1,893$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.25	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Jazz	11c	1,884$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.23	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-7.1wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe6ca…b27abacked Jazz	5c	1,731$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.56	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz	9c	1,702$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.88	458	38%174 W · 284 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz	3c	1,698$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Jazz	10c	1,615$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.49	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz	8c	1,540$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.57	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb074…1508backed Jazz	10c	1,536$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.54	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz	4c	1,484$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.28	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Jazz	9c	1,481$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.39	609	44.8%273 W · 336 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz	13c	1,458$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.56	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked Jazz	11c	1,395$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.36	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz	8c	1,300$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	407	26%106 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Jazz	8c	1,257$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.53	463	48.4%224 W · 239 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jazz	5c	1,219$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jazz	10c	1,130$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.19	309	47.6%147 W · 162 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Jazz	8c	1,120$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.51	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Jazz	4c	1,106$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Jazz	16c	1,019$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.75	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Jazz	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e80cbacked Jazz	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Jazz	7c	990.51$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.34	238	33.2%79 W · 159 L	-19.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Jazz	5c	980.72$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Jazz	9c	971.67$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.06	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Jazz	5c	957.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Jazz	10c	954.27$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.59	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Jazz	10c	946$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.6	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Jazz	5c	869.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Jazz	11c	822.62$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.49	95	40%38 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…a19bbacked Jazz	11c	778.11$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.59	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Jazz	12c	775.27$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49d3…4b2bbacked Jazz	11c	742.94$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.23	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	23cpaid	+82.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Jazz	13c	729.08$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.78	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x278f…5c17backed Jazz	2c	675.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Jazz	10c	662.2$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.22	384	32.6%125 W · 259 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	9c	642.33$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Jazz	9c	634.97$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c70…b536backed Jazz	3c	627.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Jazz	5c	573.97$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Jazz	13c	568.68$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.93	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jazz	10c	558.79$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.05	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz	5c	552.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz	7c	526.05$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Jazz	11c	518.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.09	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Jazz	11c	492.23$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.15	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…89ccbacked Jazz	11c	486.55$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.52	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7b…c30dbacked Jazz	4c	483.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Jazz	11c	473.3$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.06	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Jazz	10c	473$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0828…d60abacked Jazz	10c	473$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Jazz	13c	437.45$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.87	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Jazz	6c	425.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d0…3192backed Jazz	5c	411.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+399.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea7f…85d5backed Jazz	13c	400.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.13	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jazz	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	426	45.5%194 W · 232 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c71…3414backed Jazz	10c	378.4$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz	13c	375.38$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.38	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Jazz	10c	351.91$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Lakers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event