NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ec179acb78eabff566b1c7716d61f5a1092a9f7692936020f570e7b1752357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 61c | 8,418$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 40c | 7,029$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Lakers | 56c | 4,350$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.18 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jazz | 44c | 3,309$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,066$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Jazz | 52c | 992.27$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 41c | 970.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.46 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jazz | 47c | 746.55$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.04 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Jazz | 59c | 556.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 57c | 510.4$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Jazz | 56c | 449$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Lakers | 44c | 429.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 39c | 427.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 50c | 200.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Lakers | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 40c | 167.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Lakers | 43c | 148.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Lakers | 60c | 129.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 50c | 126.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 44c | 112.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 40c | 98.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 57c | 97.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Lakers | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…ea7ebacked Jazz | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Jazz | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Jazz | 22c | 95.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jazz | 58c | 82.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jazz | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz | 50c | 78.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz | 49c | 75.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz | 43c | 69.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Lakers | 43c | 68.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…9a91backed Lakers | 53c | 54.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 49c | 54.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Lakers | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lakers | 56c | 41.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 64c | 41.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Lakers | 42c | 32.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Lakers | 54c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Lakers | 54c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 54c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Lakers | 54c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Lakers | 54c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Lakers | 54c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Jazz | 52c | 30.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lakers | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Jazz | 48c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Lakers | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Jazz | 47c | 27.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…7c44backed Lakers | 45c | 25.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Jazz | 57c | 24.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Jazz | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Lakers | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Jazz | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Jazz | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Jazz vs. LakersLakers won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-17.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.