TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers43c12,669$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,224.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f6b…4c24backed Lakers45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz55c5,645$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.841,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Jazz55c5,307$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz53c3,750$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Jazz55c2,211$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.2529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Jazz53c1,300$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.999447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Jazz1c1,232$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.297316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8c…2f40backed Lakers45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Lakers45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1da9…13ecbacked Jazz53c918.63$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jazz55c890.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.051,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Lakers47c824$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7212542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers47c688.66$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.321,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Lakers47c688.66$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3219254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers47c687.73$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Lakers44c658.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9922159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz56c657.84$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Lakers47c583.62$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.328350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers47c572.17$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.251,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Jazz12c551.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Lakers43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Lakers44c440.23$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Lakers45c425.94$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4816959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Lakers46c417.37$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.83129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Lakers46c416.8$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Lakers44c376.04$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.498765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers45c349.5$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Jazz55c328.39$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f7…4757backed Lakers47c293.36$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Jazz20c290.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6414438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Lakers44c289.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.363828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Lakers43c289.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095d…305bbacked Jazz54c280.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers53c269.46$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.491,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f3…cb7fbacked Jazz54c265.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec8…2f23backed Lakers47c264.32$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Jazz55c231.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5954443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Lakers44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1236647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Lakers60c210.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Jazz57c199.74$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8514046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Jazz56c196.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Lakers45c177.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers45c172.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.821,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…7e96backed Lakers54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65040%20 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Lakers43c157.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.538545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Jazz13c156.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers43c147.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz47c139.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.842,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers53c126.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Lakers43c120.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.816845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Lakers46c118.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.28652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Jazz54c117.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Lakers45c116.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Lakers45c116.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Lakers45c116.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0710447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers47c114.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz48c113.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.381,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Lakers45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Lakers45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0911653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b0f5backed Lakers47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Jazz58c100.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4920146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked Jazz39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396723.9%16 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Jazz54c99.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.488156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.521,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jazz41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Jazz41c94.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5827138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Jazz57c92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.446134.4%21 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers62c90.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers44c89.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Lakers43c89.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2115846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers44c80.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Jazz57c78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4626147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz56c71.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Lakers45c68.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7438736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Lakers45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Jazz47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Jazz29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Lakers49c58.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3030348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Lakers42c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6434641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers48c56.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Lakers45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5537853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Jazz57c53.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5414753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…8cf8backed Jazz51c47.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.264440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a4…885abacked Jazz53c45.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Jazz57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Lakers47c42.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5819852%103 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Lakers46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Jazz57c35.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9924841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Jazz57c34.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.959245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers62c34.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.943,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9360…268fbacked Lakers50c28.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.363354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz48c28.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b8…47f4backed Lakers50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Lakers52c27.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.053754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Jazz54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Lakers44c26.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7618548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.