TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Lakers51c18,897$9,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,289.7760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz50c10,628$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers50c9,848$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,923.861,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Lakers51c7,249$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.9832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Jazz50c6,108$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.237852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Lakers52c5,838$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.0617055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Jazz49c5,499$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.751833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Jazz50c5,463$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.5218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Lakers53c5,276$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.137656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers57c4,998$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.2810949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz47c4,772$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Jazz50c4,445$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.2630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Jazz49c4,362$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.5370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Lakers50c4,177$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.4137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Jazz48c4,168$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Jazz49c3,918$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz46c3,750$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Lakers53c3,293$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.720744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Jazz49c3,223$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.1524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers52c3,003$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.421,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Jazz49c2,837$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.1215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Jazz49c2,426$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.945345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Lakers50c2,257$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Jazz46c2,088$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.8114355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz47c1,855$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers49c1,424$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.471,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Jazz45c1,376$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.2213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Jazz50c1,219$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz20c1,212$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Jazz48c1,164$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jazz48c1,127$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Jazz48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Jazz50c1,035$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Lakers52c941.17$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6916959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Lakers52c909.81$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Jazz38c805.36$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.771,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Jazz50c616.92$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4617349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Lakers63c616.56$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2643269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Lakers51c605.81$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2113563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Jazz30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Lakers52c582.45$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.583351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Jazz48c566.02$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.691060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Jazz43c515.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.791,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz43c515.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.791,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Jazz43c515.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Jazz43c515.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7919254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.31,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz48c471.22$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Lakers54c441.47$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.086756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz10c431.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Jazz36c384.52$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.515425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Lakers50c357.4$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.729848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Jazz49c348.01$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5318241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Jazz48c330.23$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Jazz41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237358.9%43 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz48c293.93$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz43c269.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.91,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Jazz50c252.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.136248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Jazz14c251.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1214438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jazz49c250$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz49c249.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.492,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz48c249.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.982,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Lakers54c226.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Jazz47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Lakers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Jazz50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Jazz50c193.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0166046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Lakers54c181.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Lakers52c177.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Lakers56c174.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5814054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Lakers56c172.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Lakers52c165.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz48c162.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Lakers69c156.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5310945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Lakers51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.522850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Lakers62c149.15$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Lakers52c146.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Lakers70c139.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1629665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Jazz29c132.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.327138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Jazz13c127.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.597316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Lakers52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9613138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Lakers50c120.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3710059%59 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Lakers67c116.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Jazz50c115.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2220146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Lakers52c115.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0319659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers69c113.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Lakers52c107.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz36c106.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Lakers50c99.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Jazz49c97.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.961,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Lakers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6336842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Lakers51c94.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.115650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4d…af28backed Lakers52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8223753.6%127 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Lakers54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4238453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz48c88.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.381,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…4edcbacked Lakers52c87.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.962853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Lakers56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2511850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Lakers50c83.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.