NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0e9b59d201ccbeae6658fd3f02bbfe0125294d13405dbcea075715220e1980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,258$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 46c | 922.54$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.37 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 538.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.51 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 536.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 473.23$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…13ecbacked Under | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 57c | 398.73$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 63c | 321.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 79c | 316.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 21c | 306.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 45c | 265.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…2f83backed Under | 54c | 180.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…a468backed Over | 47c | 90.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 46c | 85.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 66.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 64.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 45c | 63.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…824abacked Under | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 48.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 54c | 47.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 47.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Over | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Jazz vs. LakersLakers won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-17.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.