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Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,349,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,596,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,349,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes42c4,231,664$1,763,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763,038.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No59c1,075,988$635,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440,013.066657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No58c552,784$323,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,769.26844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e35…1fe1backed Yes32c438,151$139,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,165.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No59c351,793$207,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,591.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No58c318,618$185,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,526.845545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes41c307,930$127,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,699.034654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Yes41c258,795$106,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,106633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No59c237,388$139,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,329.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No58c217,641$126,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,409.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No58c200,000$116,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No59c192,972$113,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,918.526541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No59c169,499$100,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,494.765466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No58c158,524$92,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,994.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c156,639$91,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,649.1661741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c141,913$95,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,311.222,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No58c135,843$78,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,051.614658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No59c130,000$76,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,8006344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes42c124,613$52,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,337.392030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes41c122,411$50,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,336.242330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes42c115,824$48,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,646.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No59c112,697$66,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,187.873447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c80,879$52,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,836.3958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No58c71,242$41,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,825.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes41c70,512$28,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,910.038751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No58c70,000$40,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,4003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No59c63,725$37,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,287.272832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c60,052$40,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,318.6454239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c55,246$32,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,578.5811659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No59c53,013$31,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,735.211464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No58c47,628$27,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,003.761833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No59c47,580$28,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,507.810737.4%40 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No58c43,806$25,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,398.522433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes40c42,872$17,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,148.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No59c41,500$24,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,1052050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c39,251$25,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,563.8146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No59c37,740$22,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,518.233141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4b…ff07backed No59c35,000$20,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,450580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff2…da71backed No59c35,000$20,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,350540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No68c33,201$22,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,518.38853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c32,619$19,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,497.9370446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No66c30,575$20,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,390.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No58c29,040$16,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,148.43743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No58c27,969$16,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,746.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes50c25,655$12,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,744.278356.6%47 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No59c25,511$15,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.997145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed No59c25,488$15,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.195100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No58c24,300$14,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,206850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No65c23,638$15,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,163.261250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No65c23,301$15,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,064.34562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No58c22,576$13,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,482.075667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No62c21,169$13,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,029.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No58c20,935$12,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,772.892944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c20,601$13,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,717.2741743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No68c20,400$13,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,52810950.5%55 W · 54 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No59c20,086$11,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,235.261741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked No58c20,010$11,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,404333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.891729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+87.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c18,500$10,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,77028743.9%126 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No58c18,359$10,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,710.943528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No59c18,027$10,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,471.582532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No64c17,989$11,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,482.895545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No47c15,391$7,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.384946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1501861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No58c14,994$8,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No59c14,922$8,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,118.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes39c14,697$5,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,73210443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6c…35bbbacked Yes0c14,148$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No69c14,000$9,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3403447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes41c12,500$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1252334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No59c12,011$7,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,877.948243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No58c11,847$6,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,975.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed No60c11,387$6,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,554.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2005352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked No59c9,754$5,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes42c9,652$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.849348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No59c9,360$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.64346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No60c9,231$5,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.69840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No58c8,470$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc1d…be30backed No74c8,395$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No61c8,325$5,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No64c8,141$5,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.2520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No60c8,133$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.337542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes41c8,000$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c8,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,28023747.7%113 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed No59c8,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2801861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes39c7,848$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.2810849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No60c7,808$4,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No59c7,803$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.314100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+235.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No59c7,597$4,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.95446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…2426backed No62c7,350$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes40c7,000$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No59c6,807$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.093839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No58c6,740$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked No60c6,606$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.231030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No59c6,393$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.055549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No58c6,050$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.