TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,455,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,019,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,455,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed No63c992,629$625,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625,356.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes43c689,167$298,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390,758.353871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c421,803$163,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258,106.2329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No63c333,135$209,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209,875.344658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes37c273,057$101,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172,025.763652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes37c265,450$99,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166,251.033735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No62c213,553$132,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,402.794654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No61c194,214$118,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,470.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked No63c137,719$86,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,845.892330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes39c107,529$42,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,108.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked No63c100,000$63,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,000520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes37c98,144$36,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,830.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c75,383$30,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,076.2258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes38c70,000$26,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,299.936048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c61,315$38,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,273.0259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes42c59,229$24,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,622.4339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No64c58,704$37,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,570.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c56,081$34,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,753.4963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff2…da71backed No63c49,790$31,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,367.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes37c46,229$17,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,102.658243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No63c45,997$28,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,832.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c45,193$21,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,583.5646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes37c44,709$16,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,166.7412848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No62c43,447$26,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,846.2715442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes37c39,759$14,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,048.215466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c39,252$11,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,086.271,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No60c37,246$22,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,343.811258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb74…a6bebacked No61c31,996$19,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,517.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e35…1fe1backed No62c31,054$19,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,253.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No58c29,514$17,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,056.4410849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes34c26,628$9,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,505.724647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes37c26,005$9,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,383.412147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c22,776$5,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,578.8946741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked Yes38c20,515$7,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,719.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes37c20,074$7,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,646.611136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No62c20,014$12,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,408.622832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes36c19,999$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,799.396344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes40c19,280$7,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5682147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c17,806$10,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,736.329858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Yes37c17,335$6,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,905.741154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick28cpaid+75.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c16,991$10,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,267.531,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes61c16,737$10,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,520.26844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No63c16,495$10,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,441.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…d067backed Yes43c15,881$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,020.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+65.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes21c15,877$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,542.578971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No63c15,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4504247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No61c14,500$8,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,913.625549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No61c14,486$8,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,905.135944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes55c13,516$7,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,102.183336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No61c13,500$8,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,302.465248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes39c13,098$5,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,012.584434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e41…cbabbacked Yes40c13,028$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,816.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes38c12,702$4,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,925.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes38c12,660$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,870.2138935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No61c12,402$7,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c12,262$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.9944033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7d…3c7fbacked Yes40c12,197$4,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No62c11,145$6,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,947.066657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes38c11,033$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,850.919840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes37c10,757$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,776.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes42c10,409$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,023.051735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Yes37c10,303$3,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,490.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes65c10,256$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3006643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes39c9,881$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.432236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e0…6829backed Yes37c9,846$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.11827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Yes37c9,786$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No64c9,784$6,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.769348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes39c8,869$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,452.891758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+61.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes38c8,857$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,486.783138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No61c8,765$5,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,346.642744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No58c8,049$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.6910237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No62c7,860$4,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,873.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f2…0193backed Yes37c7,798$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,912.71520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes68c7,567$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.025145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes36c6,945$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.735352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No63c6,667$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.271266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Yes43c6,657$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.391758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0977…c370backed Yes37c6,501$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes37c6,501$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.853225%8 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes46c6,052$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.1112348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No63c6,020$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.114351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Yes35c6,012$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bba…6baabacked Yes39c6,006$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+72.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.983935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes37c5,963$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.711346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes39c5,892$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No61c5,857$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.6491537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes41c5,842$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.3527236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes36c5,700$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No59c5,501$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.298847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No62c5,400$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.792853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes65c5,263$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8311369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3018…e03abacked Yes37c5,201$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…b940backed Yes37c5,201$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes37c5,201$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes37c5,193$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.772030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes37c5,134$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.