TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Hornets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks51c29,946$15,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,673.7343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Hornets50c10,726$5,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,334.119357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets49c9,845$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.861,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Hornets50c9,701$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.994847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hornets49c7,383$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.8932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets49c7,383$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.8990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets54c7,216$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks50c7,058$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.9472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks50c6,074$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Knicks51c4,851$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.7337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Hornets49c4,015$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.25947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Knicks40c3,590$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.2766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…146abacked Knicks53c3,539$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets50c2,560$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Hornets49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets49c1,960$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.631,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hornets51c1,685$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.332,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks50c1,425$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Knicks51c1,385$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.899447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hornets49c1,040$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks51c1,038$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.691,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Hornets51c1,011$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.613636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks51c1,002$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Knicks52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.185945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Hornets50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Knicks51c893.47$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.88154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks50c713.77$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.461,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks51c628.21$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Hornets49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks51c516.42$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d46…5112backed Knicks51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets48c474.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Knicks42c438$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hornets58c426.96$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x811c…2c73backed Hornets50c399.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hornets49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Hornets49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.885633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks51c388.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2249852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Hornets50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19411451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets52c356.32$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Hornets49c245.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.372035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Hornets52c244.07$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.924637%17 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks50c215.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.842,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Hornets49c208.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.015040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Knicks41c206.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8611639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Hornets59c201.46$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8618839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Knicks51c188.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.236858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1093…2aa7backed Knicks51c187.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Knicks51c186.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.69346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d475backed Knicks52c185.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.551190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks51c185.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.131,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Knicks52c179.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks50c167.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Hornets47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Knicks50c123.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.927648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Knicks52c103.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.78439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1af…2b2cbacked Knicks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Hornets49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4797049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hornets49c98.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4738152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks52c98.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.622,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks49c96.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.461,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Hornets48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Hornets49c78.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.397550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Knicks50c76.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Knicks52c70.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Hornets51c68.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks39c64.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Hornets48c62.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Knicks62c55.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0413554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Knicks50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.527059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hornets50c49.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef77…f853backed Knicks51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Hornets50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed Knicks52c46.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Knicks58c42.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.819646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Knicks52c39.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.113554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c6…2a68backed Hornets49c39.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.192060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Knicks50c39.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3210059%59 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Hornets50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Hornets50c36.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4315053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Knicks44c35.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.029046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets52c35.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Hornets49c35.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4536350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Knicks51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f43…d489backed Hornets50c27.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed Knicks52c27.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.981631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks51c23.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Knicks52c22.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7618548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Hornets69c22.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.