TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c2,170$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c1,768$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c1,758$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under69c1,011$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.281,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over37c1,003$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under44c1,001$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over58c943.61$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c923.65$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.981,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over55c884.55$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.514045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under59c841.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under51c784.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.317249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over55c729.75$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.362437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over27c677.19$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under70c561.53$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7511873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c541.1$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c476.36$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.572,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under63c463.17$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under48c454.26$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under45c436.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.913455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under46c425.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.919348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Under48c404.06$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.31540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Under47c398.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.978545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under56c348.73$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7144…790fbacked Under47c339.49$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.931266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under61c320.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.61,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under65c316.36$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under47c245.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.928342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over51c229.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.633948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over44c228.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.161,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c215.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.61,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c187.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.321,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under44c183.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.545450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under63c168.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under63c168.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over55c162.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3326345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under63c154.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9610447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under62c152.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3635052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c151.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Under46c150.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Under47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.975446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c146.01$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.831,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under62c145.97$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over55c141.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8414444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over27c140.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1410657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over41c125.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over56c124.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.988646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under44c118.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c108.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb6…8fdebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over54c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.481,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…5f41backed Over55c98.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.132250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under65c98.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.315740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over47c88.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.722254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.713863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ef…ed56backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under57c83.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under69c80.79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0427646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over31c80.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under47c72.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4943052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Over46c72.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.27248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over45c69.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c65.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c60.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.274,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c59.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under45c58.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under45c57.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.861,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over56c57.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1313138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8819166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over39c50.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under62c49.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7711648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Over62c47.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.327763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c46.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over54c45.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6416048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3329046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under50c41.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8655444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under50c40.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.373951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under53c40.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over55c38.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.127553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Over33c37.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.413754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Under46c34.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4413140.5%53 W · 78 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under44c33.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9938736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c33.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over40c33.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over53c33.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.524841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under43c32.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under45c30.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.914946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over54c29.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6539449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over55c27.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over55c27.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.413153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Over54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over55c26.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3244347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over55c26.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3225348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over55c26.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3222047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Over53c25.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.719244.6%41 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd875…ad68backed Over61c24.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.658167.9%55 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Over46c23.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.145540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.