TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hornets62c11,833$7,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,496.5320758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets67c2,666$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.372,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets62c1,579$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks38c1,269$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.391,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks20c1,028$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks42c966.2$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.791,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Knicks25c958.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.513545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hornets61c844.74$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.951,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hornets62c826.21$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9621350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Hornets62c630.45$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks34c624.65$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.281,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Hornets62c490.85$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets62c475.32$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.212,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets61c437.04$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Hornets63c391.12$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.713050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Knicks42c351.7$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.933250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks41c324.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Hornets62c322.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Hornets62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7916959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks38c298.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Hornets62c293.16$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.47557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…b5efbacked Hornets65c248.39$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.875851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Knicks39c244.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.379346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1093…2aa7backed Knicks39c240.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Hornets62c167.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.57247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Hornets58c165.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hornets61c161.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks35c158.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks28c151.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.153,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Hornets70c146.63$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.524953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Hornets58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Hornets62c130.9$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.749451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Knicks40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Knicks37c115.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.741,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets62c110.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9372250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Hornets60c103.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.389045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hornets65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3538464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Hornets62c97.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.138555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Hornets59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Knicks39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets65c96.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.671,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets66c80.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f28…9133backed Hornets62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Hornets62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks39c69.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks36c61.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.291,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Hornets65c59.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8836949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Hornets59c57.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Knicks19c56.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets59c51.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks37c50.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Hornets62c47.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.26556.9%37 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Hornets62c47.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9747852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Hornets63c46.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.235257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks40c44.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Knicks37c42.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.771,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Knicks41c41.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9716020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Hornets64c40.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.69446.8%44 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Hornets75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Hornets62c39.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.856758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks36c39.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Hornets64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.764060%24 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets62c32.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Hornets60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0117660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Hornets65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Hornets71c27.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1515562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Hornets60c27.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.896358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Hornets68c24.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Hornets76c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hornets69c24.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Hornets63c24.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Hornets61c23.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1757051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Hornets64c19.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hornets64c19.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Hornets64c19.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.927646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Hornets64c19.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hornets71c18.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets60c18.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hornets60c18.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46c6…3bd0backed Hornets59c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Hornets65c17.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2111946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Hornets71c15.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3619360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.