NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7af4e5d3e941c116a29bc4212b90c1865b49f450a405054e9552ab375468e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Knicks | 27c | 8,601$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.24 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 73c | 6,750$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.01 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Knicks | 27c | 3,750$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Hornets | 73c | 3,749$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.13 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Knicks | 1c | 2,026$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 67c | 1,709$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Hornets | 73c | 1,348$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Hornets | 80c | 1,252$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.05 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 68c | 1,153$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 22c | 951.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Knicks | 18c | 909.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 30c | 674.74$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Hornets | 73c | 674.63$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Hornets | 75c | 614.29$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Knicks | 32c | 532.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Knicks | 23c | 495.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 15c | 490.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 23c | 435.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Hornets | 72c | 405.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Hornets | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks | 50c | 388.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Knicks | 31c | 320.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Knicks | 29c | 307.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Knicks | 9c | 246.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Knicks | 12c | 228.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Hornets | 76c | 223.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Knicks | 32c | 221.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Hornets | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Knicks | 32c | 198.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Knicks | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Knicks | 28c | 184.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked Hornets | 72c | 176.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Knicks | 48c | 118.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hornets | 71c | 114.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 74c | 112.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Hornets | 49c | 106.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Knicks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Hornets | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…628fbacked Hornets | 71c | 99.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Knicks | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Knicks | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks | 30c | 83.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Knicks | 28c | 75.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Hornets | 79c | 73.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Hornets | 78c | 72.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Knicks | 27c | 71.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Hornets | 79c | 63.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 28c | 62.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Knicks | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets | 80c | 61.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Knicks | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Hornets | 72c | 59.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Hornets | 66c | 59.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…6ba0backed Hornets | 74c | 52.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…fe53backed Hornets | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Hornets | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks | 48c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Hornets | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Hornets | 52c | 32.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Knicks | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hornets | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Hornets | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 68 | 76.5%52 W · 16 L | +12.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Hornets | 46c | 23.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Hornets | 66c | 22.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…068ebacked Hornets | 72c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…4dafbacked Hornets | 73c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. KnicksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.