NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf318b4bd47ec0f0f853e75af11b3ff4902d4c5ba042b664bac4bda1169ba3cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Knicks | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.94 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Hornets | 55c | 13,599$7,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.42 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Knicks | 50c | 4,405$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.96 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 54c | 4,225$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.37 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hornets | 49c | 3,936$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.67 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 46c | 3,870$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.38 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 55c | 3,643$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 55c | 3,442$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets | 55c | 2,762$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.06 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Knicks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Hornets | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Hornets | 55c | 1,751$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks | 46c | 1,436$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.51 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hornets | 54c | 1,246$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.09 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Hornets | 55c | 1,238$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.26 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets | 60c | 1,216$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.56 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hornets | 54c | 1,129$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.51 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 54c | 1,041$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hornets | 54c | 1,034$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.78 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 55c | 924.31$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 46c | 905.52$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.29 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Hornets | 55c | 793.42$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.04 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hornets | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 45c | 666.49$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Hornets | 57c | 615.28$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets | 55c | 528.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Hornets | 55c | 512.51$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…4c24backed Knicks | 45c | 414.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 55c | 371.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Hornets | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Knicks | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Knicks | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Hornets | 55c | 317.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Hornets | 55c | 264.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Hornets | 55c | 235.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 40c | 233.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Knicks | 45c | 223.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Knicks | 46c | 209.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…2aa7backed Knicks | 46c | 205.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Hornets | 51c | 190.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Knicks | 49c | 182.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Knicks | 37c | 179.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Hornets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Hornets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Hornets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Hornets | 60c | 155.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets | 58c | 150.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets | 51c | 129.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…50e1backed Hornets | 55c | 128.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…efa0backed Hornets | 58c | 125.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Hornets | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Knicks | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks | 47c | 111.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…2c97backed Hornets | 55c | 107.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…fbfbbacked Knicks | 46c | 106.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets | 54c | 106.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1af…2b2cbacked Knicks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hornets | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 54c | 92.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Hornets | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Hornets | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Hornets | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Hornets | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks | 46c | 86.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 56c | 85.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Hornets | 55c | 80.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Hornets | 55c | 79.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Hornets | 55c | 78.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Hornets | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Hornets | 55c | 58.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Hornets | 56c | 55.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Knicks | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 51c | 51.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Hornets | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Knicks | 46c | 46.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 51c | 45.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Knicks | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Hornets | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Hornets | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Hornets | 59c | 41.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Knicks | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…0cccbacked Hornets | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Knicks | 48c | 35.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 41c | 35.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Knicks | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Knicks | 42c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Hornets | 55c | 26.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…e7f9backed Hornets | 57c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Knicks | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. KnicksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.