MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a145e33f54f0b8f6ce3c1815c2c5fa72e8d03d3046119f0fa0d93bd943cdb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Cleveland Guardians, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 38,800$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,400 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 38,443$19,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,837.25 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 31,223$15,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.44 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 30,927$18,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,519.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 29,946$15,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,571.81 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 24,965$12,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,357.51 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 23,980$12,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.97 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 21,022$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 15,689$7,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,627.98 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 12,336$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.83 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 11,838$9,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 10,273$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 8,944$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.6 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 8,009$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.73 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 7,599$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 6,302$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.92 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 5,777$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.68 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,636$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.26 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 5,443$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.56 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 5,411$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.31 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,402$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.93 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.93 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 4,316$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 4,120$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 4,042$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 3,990$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 3,878$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 3,531$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 3,490$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 3,223$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,948$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.57 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 2,906$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 2,694$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.65 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,619$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,505$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.12 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 2,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,470$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.57 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 2,311$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.24 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 2,193$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 2,112$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…e3c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,112$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…3114backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,912$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,871$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.95 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,706$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,697$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.45 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,598$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.68 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,576$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.13 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,571$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.51 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,544$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,483$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.64 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,482$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,453$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.95 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,281$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,210$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.88 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,141$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,099$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 1,063$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 1,050$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 938.52$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.93 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 905.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 888.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 772.97$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 742.96$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 681.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 672.41$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 668.63$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 639.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 637.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 636.75$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.19 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 629.23$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…e4dbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b79…3a71backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 572.43$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…c412backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 572.3$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…2d12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 563.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…c504backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 555.13$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 552$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.63 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 550.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…9aa7backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 545.7$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 541.84$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…2d4abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 536.89$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.