TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof San Francisco Giants, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds51c45,276$23,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,185.2921040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants49c41,118$20,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,188.641,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds52c37,354$19,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,929.8598149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked San Francisco Giants48c32,000$15,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,359.8926056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Cincinnati Reds51c21,505$10,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,537.6714943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Cincinnati Reds77c16,539$12,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.8716053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds51c12,894$6,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,318.1923948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants41c11,574$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,733.1451756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds74c10,393$7,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.3743554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds51c10,290$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0421,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed San Francisco Giants49c10,000$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed San Francisco Giants49c7,232$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked San Francisco Giants49c6,924$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.97350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked San Francisco Giants31c6,853$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.043050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Cincinnati Reds55c6,750$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.473240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants24c6,163$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.3710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked San Francisco Giants46c5,959$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.924641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants49c5,500$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69517248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9660451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed San Francisco Giants49c4,921$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.3536649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants34c4,882$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.186,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked San Francisco Giants50c4,849$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.943246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants24c4,771$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.678,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds52c4,273$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.1717853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds50c4,268$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13437953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants48c4,166$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.681,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants27c3,694$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.961,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants48c3,519$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants21c3,214$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.852,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed San Francisco Giants49c3,010$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.94562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked San Francisco Giants24c3,008$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.7415840.5%64 W · 94 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Cincinnati Reds51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4705455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds64c2,848$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.1885235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds70c2,671$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.832,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds66c2,536$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.281,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants50c2,402$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.851,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked San Francisco Giants49c2,370$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.384546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed San Francisco Giants48c1,988$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2623351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Cincinnati Reds52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.495450%27 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed San Francisco Giants50c1,794$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.91,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants11c1,764$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.961,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants48c1,650$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants48c1,635$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked San Francisco Giants43c1,525$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.8612745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants42c1,482$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.42,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Cincinnati Reds56c1,460$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants32c1,428$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.731,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants42c1,289$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked San Francisco Giants42c1,230$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.794645.7%21 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked San Francisco Giants35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2826545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Cincinnati Reds52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.912049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds66c1,109$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.651,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants37c1,032$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.39,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds50c1,009$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6950751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Cincinnati Reds52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.181931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed San Francisco Giants50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4854946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants34c959.83$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.91,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Cincinnati Reds52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.256152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants48c880.98$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8731039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants37c859.35$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants51c817.72$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0427345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed San Francisco Giants49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds71c785.84$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2950860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants30c717.02$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6770735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants48c687.2$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.861,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds50c600.29$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.646,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants29c596.56$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.986,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Cincinnati Reds51c587.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1230844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0e…a3d4backed Cincinnati Reds50c578.64$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55c0…5c8dbacked San Francisco Giants51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds50c560.02$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.361,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked San Francisco Giants25c547.61$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7955464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Cincinnati Reds73c539.07$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5514558.6%85 W · 60 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed San Francisco Giants49c532.08$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7228850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants50c522.83$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.421,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked San Francisco Giants31c515.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4312337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants25c513.38$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.431,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed San Francisco Giants41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20521842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6540348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Cincinnati Reds59c471.17$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.186854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed Cincinnati Reds68c432.71$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.473842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f5…ab8cbacked San Francisco Giants11c430.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.332250%11 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Cincinnati Reds55c419.21$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8613946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds66c410.12$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.781,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds49c408.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.391,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked San Francisco Giants47c400.81$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.981250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed San Francisco Giants48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19255052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Cincinnati Reds66c397.88$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2639351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds66c393.23$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.671,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4727552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2432850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Cincinnati Reds51c346.9$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17025851.9%134 W · 124 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked San Francisco Giants38c343.85$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2440146.1%185 W · 216 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants49c341.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Francisco Giants49c339.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.917448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed San Francisco Giants17c333.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3535240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Cincinnati Reds75c329.51$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.924858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked San Francisco Giants49c319.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7530750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds59c318.47$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.571,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.