MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fd7769e480bee4011eea9cc746d7c2c96f9a29bca014caeb559de8ed97ea46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof San Francisco Giants, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 45,276$23,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,185.29 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 41,118$20,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,188.64 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 37,354$19,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,929.85 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 32,000$15,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,359.89 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 21,505$10,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,537.67 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 16,539$12,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.87 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 12,894$6,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.19 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 11,574$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.14 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 10,393$7,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.37 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 10,290$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 7,232$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 6,924$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 6,853$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 6,750$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 6,163$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 5,959$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 4,921$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.35 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 4,882$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 4,849$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 4,771$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 4,273$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.17 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 4,268$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 3,694$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.96 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,519$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 3,214$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.85 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,010$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.9 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked San Francisco Giants | 24c | 3,008$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.74 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 2,848$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.18 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 2,671$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.83 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 2,536$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.28 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,402$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.85 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,370$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.26 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,794$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 1,764$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,650$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,635$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,525$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.86 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,482$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,460$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 1,428$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.73 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,289$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,230$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.79 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.28 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 1,109$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 1,032$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,009$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.69 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 959.83$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.9 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 880.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 859.35$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 817.72$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.04 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 785.84$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 717.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 687.2$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 600.29$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 596.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 587.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…a3d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 578.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…5c8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 560.02$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 547.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 539.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 532.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 522.83$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 515.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 513.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 471.17$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 419.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 410.12$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 408.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 400.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 397.88$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 393.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 346.9$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 343.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 341.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 339.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 333.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 329.51$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 319.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 318.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.