MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198683cc27500ffed3b114ff72309e888a8ecd458bcbcef8089aa26e5f1f560e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 10,746$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 5,615$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.74 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 45c | 3,527$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.33 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked Under | 53c | 2,968$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 45c | 2,614$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,337$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 2,303$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.7 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 1,216$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.01 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,153$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.11 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 1,129$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.91 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…1091backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 49c | 996.2$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.72 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 963.61$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.94 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over | 45c | 653.45$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 590.34$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 56c | 407.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 55c | 406.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 257.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 255.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Under | 56c | 255.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 235.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 233$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 207.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 51c | 198.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…0c34backed Over | 50c | 198.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…6983backed Over | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 195.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…0a43backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…2425backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91f…7471backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 46c | 189.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 184.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 46c | 171.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 54c | 158.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 54c | 158.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 157.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 55c | 148.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 137.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 137.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 137.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 55c | 137.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 107.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 56c | 78.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 20c | 73.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Over | 23c | 70.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 69.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 46c | 68.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 68.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 56c | 67.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed Over | 45c | 58.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…3e4dbacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 46c | 42.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 45c | 42.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 79c | 41.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 78c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 46c | 35.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 32.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 56c | 32.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 55c | 31.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…ad0abacked Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 28.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 20.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 78c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.