TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c10,746$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265.591,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c5,615$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.741,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over45c3,527$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.3355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Under53c2,968$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over45c2,614$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.384247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,337$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.235,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c2,303$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over47c2,222$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.341,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under51c1,216$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.0136649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c1,153$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1132348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under58c1,129$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.912,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…1091backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over49c996.2$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.727852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c963.61$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.941,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9349158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over45c653.45$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.051752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27527249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c590.34$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1765050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under56c407.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.226152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under55c406.72$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0256851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.883839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c257.02$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.236,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c255.87$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0240341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddaa…e514backed Under56c255.57$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c235.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.841,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over46c233$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.962,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over45c207.73$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.481,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under51c198.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2718553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…0c34backed Over50c198.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…6983backed Over50c197.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c195.68$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…0a43backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9da…2425backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91f…7471backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over46c189.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2312449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c184.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7877050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…78bfbacked Over46c171.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Under54c158.81$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.051030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under54c158.8$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under56c157.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.221,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under55c148.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8734255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under53c146.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9450949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c137.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c137.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under55c137.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8251555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under55c137.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8213343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2249649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c107.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.981,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5654146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2548150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6194648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6139351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6141847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.617045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6134452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6112250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6112750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under56c78.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6112656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over20c73.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Over23c70.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.883729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c69.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.241,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under56c69.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.629450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…ea91backed Over46c68.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c68.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Under56c67.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8348651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under56c58.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.728943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Over45c58.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.263154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13db…3e4dbacked Under51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8523248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7137747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over45c44.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210449%51 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.589448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over46c42.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3614047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over45c42.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9294549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under79c41.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8324554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under55c38.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5112257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under78c38.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4778146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over46c35.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4129141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.319248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2428352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under52c32.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under56c32.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1121153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under55c31.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…ad0abacked Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over46c28.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1348339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under77c20.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.722,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under78c18.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0543043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.