MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e938ffae7b3299f53c2a65531d901867367cbb6827244a386620c68005f999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $694,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 47c | 504,844$238,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,548.04 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 279,156$144,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,786.72 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Over | 55c | 55,000$30,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,250 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 54,980$28,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,589.8 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 54,597$28,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,369.9 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 20,127$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,438.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 49c | 19,694$9,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.43 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Over | 55c | 17,738$9,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,755.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 16,340$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,310.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 55c | 11,391$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.04 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 7,373$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.13 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 6,515$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.16 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 2,639$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.11 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 2,580$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.52 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 2,243$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.41 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 51c | 2,224$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.33 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 44c | 2,167$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.87 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 53c | 2,091$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 1,947$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.4 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 1,943$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.1 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 56c | 1,937$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.29 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 1,935$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.69 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 1,729$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.04 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,646$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.78 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 53c | 1,556$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.45 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 57c | 1,555$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.35 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Under | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 30c | 1,379$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.01 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 1,315$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.26 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,315$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.4 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 1,255$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.64 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 1,064$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.05 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 51c | 953.15$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 49c | 943.95$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…96c4backed Over | 5c | 865.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 864.56$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.12 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 49c | 792.52$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.65 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…3c26backed Over | 53c | 785.58$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 43c | 780.14$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.68 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Over | 52c | 704.58$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 66c | 684.31$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 48c | 601.14$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 49c | 598.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 48c | 582.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.22 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 12c | 544.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 56c | 509.72$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.04 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 55c | 499.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.92 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Over | 54c | 451.19$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 58c | 440$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 54c | 418.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 49c | 395.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 48c | 379.13$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 376.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 48c | 356.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 53c | 320.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 69c | 285.42$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 277.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 48c | 276.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 274.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Over | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…5656backed Under | 48c | 244.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 227.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 58c | 208.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over | 52c | 187.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked Over | 55c | 168.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 46c | 157.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 59c | 154.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 47c | 149.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 67c | 145.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 138.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 126.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 48c | 121.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Under | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 37c | 118.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 30c | 113.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 49c | 107.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 53c | 106.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 53c | 106.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 46c | 106.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 39c | 105.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 46c | 104.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 53c | 102.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.