TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Magic51c111,835$57,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,564.6372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers47c79,281$37,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,001.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic53c46,760$24,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,673.763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers49c43,222$21,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,005.321,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers47c28,772$13,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,249.1343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed 76ers48c26,904$12,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,990.285935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic49c26,537$13,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,002.9687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic53c19,428$10,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,296.841,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed 76ers51c16,500$8,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,085.16045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed 76ers48c15,005$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.5519048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers49c13,964$6,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,158.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Magic53c13,752$7,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,288.590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed 76ers49c12,039$5,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,139.8247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers50c11,087$5,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,501.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked 76ers47c10,781$5,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,713.835655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46f…4ad4backed Magic49c10,506$5,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers50c10,470$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,235.091,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Magic53c9,963$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.941,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Magic53c9,168$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Magic49c8,883$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.8615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers49c7,589$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.451,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers49c6,801$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.5285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic47c6,254$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers49c6,059$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…90febacked 76ers52c5,999$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Magic52c5,885$3,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.9758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed 76ers54c5,757$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.111558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Magic53c5,097$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers49c4,922$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Magic52c4,347$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.1959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Magic52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Magic51c3,806$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.224847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed 76ers50c3,669$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.2720843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Magic50c3,277$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.263246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Magic50c3,023$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.331,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic53c2,996$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Magic51c2,972$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.054841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed 76ers51c2,840$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed 76ers48c2,826$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.3512542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Magic51c2,427$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.528953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Magic52c2,202$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.9371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Magic50c2,197$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.6524247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked 76ers48c2,066$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.143046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked 76ers50c1,932$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.022347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed 76ers49c1,921$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.7110244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Magic53c1,762$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.6156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed 76ers51c1,713$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.282544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic50c1,649$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.521152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Magic51c1,618$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.016058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Magic50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Magic52c1,494$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.9640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.172,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers49c1,456$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Magic51c1,385$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.8627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Magic51c1,336$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Magic51c1,332$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4221957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Magic50c1,276$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63610255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed 76ers51c1,237$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.1565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed 76ers49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.818353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked 76ers49c1,111$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.64843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd765…55e4backed 76ers49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Magic51c1,070$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.0862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked 76ers48c1,023$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers47c1,008$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked 76ers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed 76ers49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Magic51c989.63$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7129554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c1…a528backed Magic51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.012445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Magic51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.015945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked 76ers48c954.35$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Magic51c947.31$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Magic53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.932450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Magic53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.919254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers47c908.21$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.351,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers49c892.76$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3fd…ca86backed Magic50c887.27$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed 76ers48c869.75$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.0914052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Magic50c839.22$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Magic50c810.85$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed 76ers43c774.88$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.6812450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f45…0510backed 76ers51c763.63$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed 76ers51c699.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34323251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed 76ers51c689.28$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Magic51c665.73$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Magic53c641.75$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.133737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed 76ers49c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.169049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Magic51c607.1$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6216740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…3793backed Magic50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa696…4587backed 76ers50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c1…ef18backed Magic50c580.06$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9719…b7c9backed 76ers50c579.63$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ae…cdd6backed 76ers50c578.03$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd475…abbbbacked Magic50c575.89$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…2746backed Magic50c573.89$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…9622backed Magic50c572.13$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.