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NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under53c28,484$15,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,387.6360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over47c24,168$11,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,358.9956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c5,552$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Under53c3,508$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.592433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c2,564$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.281,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,466$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under53c1,411$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.0327455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under56c1,391$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.9840451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under54c1,359$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4713563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over45c799.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c790.64$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.8725155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under54c742.2$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.141,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c731.96$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.022,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under53c665.26$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1327246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28215650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c554.42$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.51,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over47c453.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7611440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8814046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.883941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under54c383.24$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.593237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Under52c321.38$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.262245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c304.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.395,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over48c301.56$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.753243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c299.58$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.81,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under54c270.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under54c212.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.114257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.947350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9438432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under53c184.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7222552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Under53c184.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Under50c182.79$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6111850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over46c182.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Under53c178.56$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2613554.8%74 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over49c171.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7822349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c140.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.531,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under54c138.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8192750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Under53c127.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.832646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over48c123.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.123549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under48c120.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under48c120.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over49c118.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.167149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under53c116.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cac…7c50backed Over49c110.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.291330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over48c104.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9797049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c101.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.451,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4717758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over48c98.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over49c98.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under52c97.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c94.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under54c94.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8218552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Over48c89.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.149853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c87.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb29b…5568backed Under62c79.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.091952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over47c79.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.214052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under54c78.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Under53c76.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.181050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under54c65.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9723655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c59.77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.691,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c55.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over28c54.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Under55c53.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3717852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under72c53.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2138853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over48c51.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.598057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under54c49.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8120443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Under53c49.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Under54c48.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.525855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.311,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Under54c47.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0317057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Under49c45.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6eca…87dabacked Under62c44.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.862259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under70c44.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over48c43.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under63c40.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.819756.3%111 W · 86 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over49c38.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.969454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under53c38.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a8…800dbacked Under53c37.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.762857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Under53c37.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5522746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5727854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13bc…f77ebacked Over49c35.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Over47c32.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.499347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6090…a8c2backed Under52c32.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under72c32.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1218444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c31.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.637959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Over48c28.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.871838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10fe…9af6backed Under54c27.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…111ebacked Under72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under54c27.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.