TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,524 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbbf3…aa3abacked 76ers52c1,685$876 inWon+$808.648851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Magic50c681.6$341 inLost-$340.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers51c559.65$287 inWon+$272.421,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Magic47c412$194 inLost-$193.6428838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Magic46c376.69$173 inLost-$173.2865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic48c367.99$177 inLost-$176.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Magic46c199.74$92 inLost-$91.8866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers54c180.17$97 inWon+$82.883,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Magic52c111.65$58 inLost-$58.0624139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Magic54c109.85$59 inLost-$59.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Magic57c97.42$56 inLost-$55.5361253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Magic52c95.91$50 inLost-$49.8711753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bdd…1378backed 76ers59c82.48$49 inWon+$33.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Magic48c40.56$19 inLost-$19.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 76ers52c39.39$20 inWon+$18.9127138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd7…e7a5backed Magic53c36.67$19 inLost-$19.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Magic49c24.99$12 inLost-$12.251,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.