TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$821,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$810,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $821,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over55c223,784$122,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,983.5215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd26…294bbacked Over0c142,905$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.112343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under45c88,884$39,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,902.093732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under45c70,565$31,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,810.681833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under42c60,930$25,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,195.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under43c45,652$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,901.648350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under42c22,686$9,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,157.9840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under47c22,672$10,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.8625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over58c14,776$8,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,570.167447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under40c11,967$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.941,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under58c10,568$6,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.223,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under41c10,042$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,942.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under40c9,843$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,905.632157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f5…348fbacked Under45c9,778$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,377.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over59c9,491$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.771,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Under45c8,833$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.957338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c7,704$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under42c6,998$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.7871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c6,119$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Under40c5,973$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.87875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under41c5,809$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.1716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c5,053$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Under40c4,820$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8922347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under40c4,767$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under41c4,425$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.531,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…6609backed Under45c4,040$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under42c3,970$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.2738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under40c3,906$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.9858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under41c3,902$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.041,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over14c3,421$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under42c3,378$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.3617055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under40c3,133$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c3,095$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.996457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c2,995$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.572,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over59c2,480$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.114045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c2,433$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.9184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Over55c2,433$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.883167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Under40c2,423$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+486.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under40c2,381$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.0419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.918448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under42c2,222$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.73554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under41c2,217$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.6871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under44c2,200$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over53c2,190$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.3821350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under40c2,181$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.6945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under41c2,117$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.2414052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over61c2,097$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.2214355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.88851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Under42c2,050$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.161315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Under40c1,820$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.721450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c1,664$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.681,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under44c1,623$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.6244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c1,623$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c1,599$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c1,547$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.1137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Under45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8253441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under46c1,500$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.9673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…1e98backed Over59c1,488$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Over58c1,398$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.846839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under42c1,260$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.611,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72320946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Under40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7233948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under41c1,181$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.2634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under40c1,168$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.9137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Over54c1,166$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed Under43c1,139$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.054843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5832572%18 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under42c1,050$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Over60c1,050$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c1,022$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96dd…ff8ebacked Over59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Under39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under40c963.78$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.1837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under39c899.99$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c879.83$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under55c878.78$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.7939864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Over63c800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c779.43$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.681,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c769.07$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.351,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over57c754.36$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over59c752.45$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under40c723$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under42c689.36$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under41c664.13$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.6778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c648.32$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5727746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Over53c586.32$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.753964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under44c583.09$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.975545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under42c574.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.225843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c548.87$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c536.87$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over45c526.06$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.731,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over54c516.13$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6816159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c504.63$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.