TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c7,494$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.751,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under39c3,244$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.116039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8306457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c2,148$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over52c2,020$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.8449938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Over62c2,011$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.617865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under39c1,205$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.0456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under38c1,203$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.7211437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over62c1,165$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.1914045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Over61c1,030$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.192352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Over60c969.11$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.661850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c960.56$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under47c910.32$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.071,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over13c830.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.742,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Under59c829.08$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.43666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Over48c649.15$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over61c640.39$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under54c570.56$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under41c562.84$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.593743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over56c545.19$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under43c544.35$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.431,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over61c532$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.236956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over56c493.93$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over65c484.09$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Under40c475.62$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.383141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over44c460$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.43246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57f…930ebacked Over56c455.63$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under38c448.17$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over34c446.62$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3918850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c435.33$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.411,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Over63c389.67$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.419048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c387.6$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c371.17$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.441,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c355.91$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over54c342.28$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3916048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under37c337.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over53c326.44$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under45c319.66$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over54c314.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.711,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over57c309.93$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7524147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c287.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…19edbacked Over47c279.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c263.73$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Over55c253.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over52c250$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8658754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over63c247.69$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…b277backed Over62c236.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.58825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under45c217.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1810552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c214.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.851,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over62c209.88$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.154734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d36…c604backed Under48c200.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over49c198.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.933243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over55c196.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over61c195.35$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eca…87dabacked Over49c194.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Over54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0214959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.686845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Over62c189.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.261450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…18dfbacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.931,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c182.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked Over54c180.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.242846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Under40c176.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.883033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over61c176.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.426656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Under40c175.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.231353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over34c171.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1825360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over59c165.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5313342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…e4cdbacked Over61c162.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Over62c161.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.859345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under37c160.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.513748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over26c159.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.453231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under39c157.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d7…b138backed Over55c151.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.322060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over63c151.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.928646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under41c141.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Over62c132.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.031942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under38c131.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.511,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under41c122.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over60c112.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2316842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Under42c111.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.267338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over44c108.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8110743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under41c107.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2818157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Over63c105.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6510560%63 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Over71c101.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.969242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6225559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbd…a0a2backed Over55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over61c97.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.573354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under39c97.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under32c96.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.819139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over53c91.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under45c86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.327763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7113441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8f…7b84backed Over62c85.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over61c83.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9311253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under51c83.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c77.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over63c77.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8913655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under37c75.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.