NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29d8fb739c76b51cd52ea120aa2b7cf56073b7b9d8af697389c30202c93e444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Magic, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x559b…4959backed Magic | 32c | 2,539$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked 76ers | 51c | 2,412$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.87 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Magic | 48c | 1,894$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed 76ers | 54c | 1,271$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.78 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 65c | 811.16$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers | 66c | 766.02$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Magic | 45c | 762.36$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.04 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked 76ers | 54c | 691.83$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Magic | 46c | 680$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 76ers | 68c | 345.14$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed 76ers | 24c | 261.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Magic | 39c | 247.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers | 68c | 245.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 76ers | 68c | 245.2$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 76ers | 60c | 227.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed 76ers | 51c | 203.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Magic | 20c | 193.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Magic | 49c | 184.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…cfb5backed 76ers | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Magic | 50c | 132.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Magic | 65c | 114.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 49c | 96.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…856cbacked Magic | 26c | 92.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Magic | 49c | 75.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked 76ers | 68c | 72.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 76ers | 77c | 58.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…7de9backed Magic | 45c | 54.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed 76ers | 68c | 49.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Magic | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Magic | 41c | 46.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed 76ers | 53c | 46.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 135 | 39.3%53 W · 82 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 44c | 43.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…dc29backed 76ers | 56c | 42.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed 76ers | 42c | 38.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Magic | 60c | 35.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f9…3978backed 76ers | 64c | 34.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked 76ers | 54c | 30.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Magic | 46c | 28.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked 76ers | 57c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Magic | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f1…9bb4backed Magic | 53c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Magic | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked 76ers | 67c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed 76ers | 71c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…db13backed 76ers | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Magic vs. 76ers76ers won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.