TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,927 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed No50c1,122$559 inWon+$563.545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes50c965.28$485 inLost-$485.0814045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No49c531.98$260 inWon+$271.6379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fb6…6db2backed Yes52c463.36$243 inLost-$242.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Yes47c299.99$142 inLost-$1422937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes48c241.39$116 inLost-$115.968641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No51c239.21$122 inWon+$117.341,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No47c232.74$109 inWon+$123.3590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked No53c224.87$119 inWon+$105.6911056.4%62 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Yes50c153.51$77 inLost-$76.768646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No51c153.36$79 inWon+$74.7119434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No53c120$64 inWon+$56.456050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes49c99.03$48 inLost-$48.4713441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Yes51c95.16$49 inLost-$48.535137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked No52c56.03$29 inWon+$26.8914445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked Yes50c51.69$26 inLost-$25.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Yes52c45.05$23 inLost-$23.4320146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c44…f66fbacked Yes43c43.94$19 inLost-$18.732240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7c…ea1bbacked Yes47c35.02$16 inLost-$16.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad50…6c25backed Yes47c31.4$15 inLost-$14.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No50c20.9$10 inWon+$10.4826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No51c20.42$10 inWon+$1037753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Yes53c20.17$11 inLost-$10.696147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.