TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,742 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd11d…5656backed Yes52c291.36$152 inWon+$139.859239.1%36 W · 56 L-10.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0278…5f1fbacked Yes51c282.68$146 inWon+$137.167240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80b…7e1bbacked Yes50c257.96$129 inWon+$128.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No48c253.71$122 inLost-$121.691,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No48c217.99$105 inLost-$104.6456050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Yes52c206.16$107 inWon+$98.955644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c110.91$61 inLost-$60.821,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No48c80$38 inLost-$38.49947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes47c70.88$33 inWon+$37.4495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked No49c68.73$34 inLost-$33.9413441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c44…f66fbacked No42c65.41$28 inLost-$27.562240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed No54c63.2$34 inLost-$33.986344.4%28 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked No50c58.2$29 inLost-$29.11,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed No43c56$24 inLost-$24.166943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed No44c54.12$24 inLost-$23.856051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…e189backed No50c38.99$19 inLost-$19.46768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked No50c38.8$19 inLost-$19.420951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a67…9a6fbacked Yes73c33.53$25 inWon+$8.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed No45c31.91$14 inLost-$14.3640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad50…6c25backed No50c31.78$16 inLost-$15.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Yes52c29.14$15 inWon+$13.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.