TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,892 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers45c2,145$971 inWon+$1,173.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Magic60c815.64$488 inLost-$487.9528554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Magic46c631.04$290 inLost-$290.2865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Magic60c484.75$291 inLost-$290.852653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic50c418.41$207 inLost-$207.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed 76ers50c288.4$144 inWon+$144.27356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Magic36c120.58$43 inLost-$43.2314059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Magic49c104.84$51 inLost-$51.332,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Magic53c91.68$49 inLost-$48.595143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic52c85.7$44 inLost-$44.3789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed 76ers65c77.34$50 inWon+$27.072,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked 76ers50c74.96$37 inWon+$37.4837848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers48c74.4$36 inWon+$38.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed 76ers50c51.41$26 inWon+$25.713554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Magic47c50$24 inLost-$23.51,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed 76ers55c40$22 inWon+$1814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed 76ers48c30.56$15 inWon+$16.0311851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Magic49c30$15 inLost-$14.724454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb3…803abacked 76ers50c29.1$15 inWon+$14.555062%31 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8db…6d92backed 76ers50c28.83$14 inWon+$14.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed 76ers45c27.68$12 inWon+$15.222646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Magic53c23$12 inLost-$12.192222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked 76ers65c19.79$13 inWon+$6.923372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.