TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under49c25,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,749.9960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under49c20,126$9,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,264.225935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c19,992$10,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,195.941,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c19,702$10,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,653.7914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c17,527$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,763.5849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c17,061$8,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,359.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c16,764$8,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,542.721,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c11,178$5,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,572.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c6,385$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over11c5,863$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c5,820$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.4793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over50c5,236$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.819857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under50c3,878$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.035341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c3,608$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over50c3,369$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.774134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c2,478$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.2264944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over10c1,892$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under50c1,745$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.068452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c1,562$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.171,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c1,221$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5313563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under49c1,187$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c1,168$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.812,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c1,158$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c1,056$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.7919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Under49c1,002$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.121952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.993046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under51c911.32$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c830$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c778.46$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3911651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over51c628.42$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4912542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Over51c628.04$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.33748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over24c599.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Under49c528.32$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.443053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over14c526.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.043231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under65c523.14$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4411873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c508.78$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.392,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under51c499.23$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c484.43$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c472.03$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.023,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over52c468.62$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7720946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Over35c411.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.153641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Over51c399.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.831631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c394.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1619254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over51c376.47$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c362.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c362.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c346.15$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over50c337.56$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.789646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8326745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Over50c324.06$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.527745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over52c280.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.919454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Over50c278.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2110050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c268.84$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4134850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c258.12$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c254.38$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.771,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under49c237.37$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3730453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over55c226.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7737848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under47c201.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8715650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c199.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10156050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under48c193.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Under52c187.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4211850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.127350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c185.94$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under50c181.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under51c171.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.925354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked Under51c171.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Over53c157.12$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.589437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under49c155.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over32c151.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9517459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x523b…cd5abacked Under51c147.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over50c144.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2514052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under70c131.87$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.564257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over50c126.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under48c107.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1520051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over51c107.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.718057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over51c100.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4423549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…7e96backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515040%20 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…4e0abacked Over50c96.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under51c91.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over35c84.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4510743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Over51c81.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29b…5568backed Over13c80.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under50c80.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4831354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Under50c77.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1919659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Over52c77.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.142356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under49c76.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.